Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 22

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday


	Alcains		Peniche

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.1	1.9
	3.75	2.95	2.01
	3.78	2.88	2.11
	3.7	2.98	2.1
	3.75	2.95	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↓ (3.84)	2.97 ↓ (3.1)	2.03 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcains
24.5%

Draw
30.6%

Peniche
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

29.3%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

25.2%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcains has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Peniche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcains than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peniche than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Alcains - Peniche Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
31', 0 - 1, Diop A. ⚽,
34', 0 - 2, Diop A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 4).

The competitors look crappy now.

Peniche will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Alcains won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Alcains won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alcains
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
02.03.25	SB Castelo Branco - Alcains	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Alcains - Pombal	0:0 ✺
16.02.25	Alcains - Os Marialvas	0:2 ✺
09.02.25	Mortágua - Alcains	2:2 ✺
02.02.25	Alcains - Arronches Benfica	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTLTL
- GD Peniche
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
02.03.25	Peniche - Os Marialvas	0:0 ✺
23.02.25	Mortágua - Peniche	0:0 ✺
16.02.25	Peniche - Arronches Benfica	1:2 ✺
09.02.25	Elvas - Peniche	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Peniche - Fatima	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
10.11.24	Peniche - Alcains	2:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
31.03.19	Alcains - Peniche	1:0

Alcains - Peniche: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide