Match Info

Challenge League - Round 14

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	Vittoriosa Stars		Marsa

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.45	2.58	Watch
	2.24	3.57	2.63
	1.96	3.92	3.06	Watch
	2.15	3.3	2.75
	2.16	3.7	2.88
	2.33	3.4	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.28)	3.56 ↓ (3.6)	2.73 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Vittoriosa Stars
41.4%

Draw
25.4%

Marsa
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

25.4%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

23.7%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vittoriosa Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Marsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vittoriosa Stars than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Vittoriosa Stars - Marsa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Gabriel Castro ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, Sgaria R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: ) and 15 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: )).

Vittoriosa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Marsa is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Marsa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Marsa has had a series of home games.

Vittoriosa will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Vittoriosa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Vittoriosa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Vittoriosa	2	1	1	0	2:0	2	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vittoriosa Stars
Maltese Challenge League
01.02.26	St. Andrews - Vittoriosa Stars	3:3 ✺
17.01.26	Vittoriosa Stars - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Balzan - Vittoriosa Stars	4:1 ✺
20.12.25	Żebbuġ Rangers - Vittoriosa Stars	0:4 ✺
13.12.25	Vittoriosa Stars - Santa Lucia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TTLWL
- Marsa FC
Maltese Challenge League
31.01.26	Marsa - Żebbuġ Rangers	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Marsa - Santa Lucia	2:2 ✺
11.01.26	Melita - Marsa	3:2 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
04.01.26	Marsa - Naxxar Lions	0:3 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
21.12.25	Marsa - St. Andrews	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
27.08.22	Marsa - Vittoriosa Stars	1:1
17.01.21	Vittoriosa Stars - Marsa	2:2
08.03.19	Vittoriosa Stars - Marsa	2:0
18.10.18	Marsa - Vittoriosa Stars	1:2

Vittoriosa Stars - Marsa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide