Match Info

MALTA: Challenge League - Promotion Group - Round 4

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	Tarxien Rainbows		Swieqi United

	1	X	2
	3	2.65	2.55
	3.17	2.57	2.49
	3.11	2.74	2.49	Watch
	2.82	3.33	2.35
	3	2.65	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.93)	2.79 ↓ (3.75)	2.49 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tarxien Rainbows
30.3%

Draw
32.8%

Swieqi United
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

24.2%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

24.3%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tarxien Rainbows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Swieqi United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Swieqi United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarxien Rainbows than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swieqi United than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Swieqi United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tarxien Rainbows - Swieqi United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vella A. (G) 37. Azzopardi M. 98. Barboza C. 88. Boadu D. 70. Briffa K. 21. Brincat Z. 4. D'Alessandro M. 20. Debono J. 18. Mizzi S. 5. Sant D. (C) 8. Xuereb M.	12. Debattista J. C. (C) 5. Abela D. 96. Agius D. 19. Brafo B. 8. Fenech P. 9. Katanic A. 7. Mattocks L. 3. Morales J. 10. Schembri Wismayer A. 6. Spiteri M. 18. Vella J.
Substitutes
7. Borg C. 11. Borg S. P. 10. Brincat J. 33. Cande B. 99. Gusman T. 9. Igbinijesu G. 95. Micallef S. (G) 77. Muscat B. 19. Tabone M.	15. Calleja D. 26. Ellul Ruggier K. (G) 97. Hudson M. 77. Magri S. 21. Micallef M. 4. Muscat K. 14. Pisani N. 17. Siaw S. 80. Vella T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Spiteri M. 🟨,
22', 0 - 1, Katanic A. ⚽,
31', Boadu D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Barboza C. 🟨,
57', Mizzi S. ↓, Brincat J. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Brincat J. ⚽,
65', Mattocks L. ↓, Micallef M. ↑,
66', Boadu D. ↓, Muscat B. ↑,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Tarxien could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Swieqi United have a series of guest games.

Swieqi United will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Tarxien won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.5:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Tarxien won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tarxien Rainbows
Maltese Challenge League
01.03.25	Valletta - Tarxien Rainbows	3:0 ✺
22.02.25	Tarxien Rainbows - Santa Lucia	0:0 ✺
16.02.25	Pietà Hotspurs - Tarxien Rainbows	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Tarxien Rainbows - Lija Athletic	3:1 ✺
01.02.25	Tarxien Rainbows - Sirens	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTTWW
- Swieqi United
Maltese Challenge League
02.03.25	Swieqi United - Żurrieq	3:1 ✺
Maltese Challenge Cup
27.02.25	Żurrieq - Swieqi United	3:2 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
22.02.25	Marsa - Swieqi United	2:3 ✺
15.02.25	Valletta - Swieqi United	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	St. Andrews - Swieqi United	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
29.09.24	Tarxien Rainbows - Swieqi United	1:1
03.03.24	Swieqi United - Tarxien Rainbows	0:1
25.11.23	Tarxien Rainbows - Swieqi United	0:0
03.09.22	Tarxien Rainbows - Swieqi United	0:2

Tarxien Rainbows - Swieqi United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide