Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 11

Date: 29 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stade Francis Turcan (Martigues)

Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free


	Martigues		Caen

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.4	1.95	Watch
	3.5	3.4	2
	3.75	3.4	1.95	Watch
	3.83	3.56	2.02
	3.66	3.57	1.95	Watch
	3.6	3.4	1.95
	3.79	3.5	1.99	Watch
	3.75	3.4	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↓ (4.22)	3.45 ↓ (3.51)	1.97 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martigues
25.3%

Draw
27.1%

Caen
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

26.7%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

25.9%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martigues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martigues than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	45.5%	27.3%

Martigues - Caen Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Martigues will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Caen will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Aymes J. (G) 39. Saintini N. 3. Solvet S. 5. Falette S. 18. Amraoui A. 24. Morante L. 12. Robin M. 23. Siby M. 41. Bamba M. 29. Mendy O. 19. Ouotro P.	16. Clementia Y. (G) 4. Henry V. 20. Lebreton N. 3. Bolumbu D. 61. Traore B. 29. Thomas R. (C) 10. Brahimi B. 77. Gaucho Debohi D. 17. Kyeremeh G. 19. Mendy A. 7. Gomis T.
Substitutes
34. Gautier L. 21. Hadjem Y. 27. Ipiele A. 40. Marillat Y. (G) 14. Moussiti-Oko B. 10. Tlili K. 8. Zouaoui I.	18. Coulibaly K. 8. Le Bihan M. 28. Lecoeuche Q. 1. Mandrea A. (G) 37. Milliner L. 14. Rajot L. 36. Verhaeghe R.
Coaches
Laurey T.	Seube N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
50', Bolumbu D. 🟨,
62', Gomis T. ↓, Coulibaly K. ↑,
63', Kyeremeh G. ↓, Lecoeuche Q. ↑,
63', Bolumbu D. ↓, Le Bihan M. ↑,
68', Falette S. 🟨,
68', 0 - 1, Mendy A. (Pen),
70', Ouotro P. ↓, Moussiti-Oko B. ↑,
78', Bamba M. ↓, Tlili K. ↑,
78', Mendy O. ↓, Hadjem Y. ↑,
79', Saintini N. ↓, Ipiele A. ↑,
82', Siby M. ↓, Zouaoui I. ↑,
84', Coulibaly K. 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 2, Mendy A. ⚽,
90+2', Mendy A. 🟨,
90+4', Falette S. 🟨,
90+5', 0 - 3, Lebreton N. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 15).

Recent matches Martigues is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Caen is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Caen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Caen will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Caen: Bagbema Z. (Injury) M'Vila Y. (Injury) Meddah D. (Injury) Sy L. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Martigues
French Ligue 2
25.10.24	Clermont - Martigues	0:1 ✺
18.10.24	Martigues - Rodez	0:2 ✺
05.10.24	Ajaccio - Martigues	1:1 ✺
27.09.24	Martigues - Dunkerque	1:1 ✺
24.09.24	Metz - Martigues	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WLTTL
- SM Caen
French Ligue 2
26.10.24	Caen - Troyes	0:1 ✺
18.10.24	Red Star - Caen	2:2 ✺
05.10.24	Caen - Lorient	1:2 ✺
30.09.24	Guingamp - Caen	3:1 ✺
24.09.24	Caen - Amiens	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTLLW

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