Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 13

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade du Moustoir (Lorient)

Referee: Leleu M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Lorient		Guingamp

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.8	4	Watch
	1.85	3.6	3.9
	1.87	3.75	3.75
	1.9	3.71	4.25
	1.87	3.74	3.79	Watch
	1.83	3.75	3.8
	1.85	3.88	3.92	Watch
	1.87	3.75	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.85)	3.75 ↑ (3.68)	3.9 ↓ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 2 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN La Liga

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Current Win Probability

Lorient
50.7%

Draw
25.1%

Guingamp
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

25.5%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

24.6%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Lorient have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	7.7%	0%

Lorient - Guingamp Predictions

Users Predictions: Lorient will win (24 of 26 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.07% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Mvogo Y. (G) 2. Igor Silva 5. Mendy F. 3. Talbi M. 77. Katseris P. 62. Avom A. 6. Abergel L. 44. Yongwa D. 21. Ponceau J. 27. Tosin A. 10. Pagis P.	16. Basilio E. (G) 6. Vallier L. 26. Riou M. 24. Lemonnier P. 22. Sissoko A. 17. Siwe J. 4. Louiserre D. (C) 8. Sidibe K. 10. Picard H. 11. Sagna A. 13. Hemia A.
Substitutes
66. James I. 15. Laporte J. 11. Le Bris T. 1. Leroy B. (G) 17. Makengo J. 93. Mvuka Mugisha J. 28. Soumano S.	21. Ghrieb R. 23. Luvambo T. 2. Maronnier L. 29. Mendes J. A. 18. Nair S. 30. Niasse B. (G) 5. Phiri L.
Coaches
Pantaloni O.	Ripoll S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Katseris P. ⚽, Tosin A. (A),
42', 2 - 0, Basilio E. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Sagna A. ↓, Ghrieb R. ↑,
54', Lemonnier P. ↓, Nair S. ↑,
57', 2 - 1, Louiserre D. (Pen),
64', Katseris P. ↓, Mvuka Mugisha J. ↑,
64', Tosin A. ↓, Soumano S. ↑,
68', 3 - 1, Soumano S. (Pen),
69', Sidibe K. ↓, Luvambo T. ↑,
70', Pagis P. ↓, Makengo J. ↑,
79', Picard H. ↓, Mendes J. A. ↑,
79', Louiserre D. ↓, Phiri L. ↑,
83', Avom A. ↓, Le Bris T. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lorient won 1.

Lorient is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Guingamp is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guingamp could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lorient is a favorite.

There will not play in Lorient: Diarra S. (Knee Injury) Fadiga B. (Injury) Le Bris T. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Guingamp: Gomis D. (Injury) Mendes J. A. (Injury) Nair S. (Injury) Ndour A. (Injury)

Last 18 head-to-head matches Lorient won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 27:26 (average 1.5:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Lorient won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19:10 (average 2.1:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lorient
French Ligue 2
01.11.24	Clermont - Lorient	2:1 ✺
29.10.24	Lorient - Dunkerque	4:2 ✺
25.10.24	Rodez - Lorient	3:3 ✺
19.10.24	Lorient - Annecy	4:2 ✺
05.10.24	Caen - Lorient	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWTWW
- EA Guingamp
French Ligue 2
02.11.24	Guingamp - Grenoble	3:0 ✺
29.10.24	Guingamp - Ajaccio	1:0 ✺
25.10.24	Metz - Guingamp	1:0 ✺
18.10.24	Guingamp - Pau	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	Clermont - Guingamp	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
10.08.24	Guingamp - Lorient	1:1
22.07.23	Guingamp - Lorient	2:2
16.12.22	Guingamp - Lorient	1:0
15.08.20	Lorient - Guingamp	1:0
French Ligue 2
08.02.20	Guingamp - Lorient	2:1
Coupe De France
16.11.19	Lorient - Guingamp	3:0
French Ligue 2
31.08.19	Lorient - Guingamp	0:1

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