The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Marítimo 9.8%
Draw 18.5%
Porto 71.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
11.8%
20.1%
68.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
11.4%
19.5%
70.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marítimo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Marítimo - Porto Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
A mid-table host welcomes the league leaders in an exciting contest (ranked 11th and 1st in the Promotion - Champions League League phase).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marítimo won 0.
Marítimo is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Porto is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Porto may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The betting markets point to Porto as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Marítimo has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:34 (averaging 0.9:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Marítimo against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with 8:12 goals (averaging 0.8:1.2 per game).