Match Info

Date: 25 October 2020, Sunday


	Matelica		Arezzo

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	3.6
	2	3.3	3.25
	2	3.3	3.15
	1.98	3.2	3.35
	1.95	3.55	3.63
	2.05	3.3	3.5
	2	3.52	3.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.14)	3.34 ↑ (3.1)	3.41 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matelica
45.9%

Draw
27.3%

Arezzo
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

29.2%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

21.1%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matelica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matelica than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matelica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arezzo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Matelica - Arezzo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Matelica is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arezzo has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Arezzo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Matelica will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matelica Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
21.10.20	Mantova - Matelica	5:2 ✺
17.10.20	Matelica - Modena	2:1 ✺
11.10.20	Vis Pesaro - Matelica	2:1 ✺
07.10.20	Matelica - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
03.10.20	Matelica - FeralpiSalò	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWLTW
- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie C Group B
21.10.20	Arezzo - Padova	0:5 ✺
18.10.20	Carpi - Arezzo	4:1 ✺
11.10.20	Arezzo - Virtus Verona	0:3 ✺
08.10.20	Gubbio - Arezzo	1:1 ✺
05.10.20	Arezzo - Perugia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL

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