Match Info

Date: 21 October 2020, Wednesday


	Arezzo		Padova

	1	X	2
	4	3.25	1.85
	3.9	3.1	1.9	Watch
	4	3	1.9
	4	2.85	1.94
	4.33	3.05	1.98
	4	3	2
	3.94	3.2	1.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.02 ↑ (3.28)	3.06 ↑ (3)	1.93 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Arezzo
22.7%

Draw
29.9%

Padova
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

30%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

23.5%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Padova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Padova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arezzo - Padova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Arezzo has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Padova is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Padova will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie C Group B
18.10.20	Carpi - Arezzo	4:1 ✺
11.10.20	Arezzo - Virtus Verona	0:3 ✺
08.10.20	Gubbio - Arezzo	1:1 ✺
05.10.20	Arezzo - Perugia	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
30.09.20	Cremonese - Arezzo	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL
- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie C Group B
18.10.20	Padova - Legnago Salus	1:1 ✺
11.10.20	Fermana - Padova	0:1 ✺
07.10.20	Padova - Mantova	3:1 ✺
04.10.20	Fano - Padova	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
30.09.20	Frosinone - Padova	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 TWWTW

Upcoming Matches