Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 28

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Pietro Barbetti (Gubbio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Gubbio		Arezzo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.45	3.1	1.82	Watch
	5.08	3.14	1.82
	4.87	2.93	1.85	Watch
	4.6	2.8	1.8
	4.86	3	1.78	Watch
	5	3.14	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.81 ↑ (4.47)	3.02 ↑ (2.97)	1.81 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gubbio
19%

Draw
30.3%

Arezzo
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

31%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

30.8%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Arezzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (-2%)

Gubbio - Arezzo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Krapikas T. (G) 23. Bruscagin M. 15. Signorini A. (C) 5. Di Bitonto A. 34. Zallu F. 8. Rosaia G. 44. Hraiech S. 6. Varone I. 29. Murru N. 77. Minta A. 73. Ghirardello T.	22. Venturi G. (G) 6. Renzi A. 4. Coppolaro M. 15. Gigli N. 37. Righetti S. 24. Chierico L. 7. Guccione F. 78. Iaccarino G. 10. Pattarello E. 91. Ravasio M. 21. Tavernelli C.
Substitutes
. Bacalini L. 1. Bagnolini N. (G) 4. Baroncelli L. 21. Carraro F. 40. Costa G. 10. Di Massimo A. 82. Djankpata H. 17. Fazzi N. 11. Mastropietro F. 27. Podda L. 3. Tentardini A. 45. Tomasella M. (G)	30. Arena A. 5. Casarosa M. 71. Cianci P. 26. De Col F. 77. Di Chiara G. 12. Galli A. (G) 45. Perrotta F. 1. Trombini L. (G) 11. Varela Djamanca M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Coppolaro M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 0 - 1, Ravasio M. ⚽,
59', Gigli N. 🟨,
61', Zallu F. ↓, Di Massimo A. ↑,
61', Ghirardello T. ↓, Mastropietro F. ↑,
67', Minta A. 🟨,
70', Pattarello E. ↓, Arena A. ↑,
70', Ravasio M. ↓, Cianci P. ↑,
70', Tavernelli C. ↓, Varela Djamanca M. ↑,
78', Rosaia G. ↓, Carraro F. ↑,
78', Murru N. ↓, Tentardini A. ↑,
79', Righetti S. ↓, Di Chiara G. ↑,
83', Iaccarino G. ↓, De Col F. ↑,
84', Cianci P. 🟨,
86', Hraiech S. ↓, Djankpata H. ↑,
90+1', Bruscagin M. 🟨,
90+6', Arena A. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gubbio won 1.

Gubbio is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Arezzo is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Arezzo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Arezzo is the team to beat.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Gubbio won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Gubbio won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Gubbio	9	2	1	6	10:18	-8	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
15.02.26	Pontedera - Gubbio	1:1 ✺
12.02.26	Gubbio - Vis Pesaro	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Gubbio - Campobasso	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Bra - Gubbio	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Gubbio - Forlì	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWWLW
- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie C Group B
12.02.26	Carpi - Arezzo	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Arezzo - Pianese	2:0 ✺
30.01.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Arezzo	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Arezzo - Juventus U23	1:0 ✺
16.01.26	Vis Pesaro - Arezzo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
10.10.25	Arezzo - Gubbio	1:0
Italian Serie C Group A
04.05.25	Arezzo - Gubbio	3:1
Italian Serie C Group B
02.02.25	Gubbio - Arezzo	0:0
24.09.24	Arezzo - Gubbio	2:0
05.03.24	Gubbio - Arezzo	2:0
30.10.23	Arezzo - Gubbio	1:0
03.02.21	Arezzo - Gubbio	0:1

Gubbio - Arezzo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide