Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 32

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Citta di Arezzo (Arezzo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Arezzo		Perugia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	3.5	5.7
	1.66	3.5	6.75
	1.59	3.44	5.98	Watch
	1.6	3.2	5.5
	1.65	3.36	6.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.46)	3.4 ↓ (3.67)	5.99 ↓ (7.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arezzo
57.3%

Draw
27.2%

Perugia
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

24.9%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5%

23.9%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arezzo's form might have worsened.

Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arezzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Arezzo - Perugia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Venturi G. (G) 13. Gilli M. 4. Coppolaro M. 19. Chiosa M. 37. Righetti S. 8. Eklu S. M. 7. Guccione F. 24. Chierico L. 10. Pattarello E. 91. Cianci P. 21. Tavernelli C.	1. Gemello L. (G) 26. Calapai L. 13. Stramaccioni D. 28. Riccardi D. 31. Tozzuolo A. 21. Ladinetti R. 20. Tumbarello G. 32. Megelaitis L. 24. Verre V. 77. Manzari G. 9. Montevago D.
Substitutes
30. Arena A. 5. Casarosa M. 72. Cortesi M. 77. Di Chiara G. 12. Galli A. (G) 15. Gigli N. 78. Iaccarino G. . Ravasio M. 6. Renzi A. 1. Trombini L. (G) 11. Varela Djamanca M. 23. Viviani M.	5. Angella G. 11. Bacchin L. 16. Bartolomei P. 98. Bolsius D. 10. Canotto L. 15. Dell'Orco C. 19. Dottori C. 2. Esculino I. 4. Joselito 12. Moro L. (G) 90. Nepi A. 18. Perugini M. 73. Polizzi M. 55. Strappini S. (G) 17. Terrnava D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Montevago D. ⚽,
19', Ladinetti R. 🟨,
37', Montevago D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Riccardi D. 🟨,
61', 1 - 1, Tavernelli C. ⚽,
61', Guccione F. 🟨,
65', Verre V. ↓, Bacchin L. ↑,
66', Pattarello E. ↓, Arena A. ↑,
66', Guccione F. ↓, Iaccarino G. ↑,
76', Cianci P. ↓, Ravasio M. ↑,
76', Tavernelli C. ↓, Varela Djamanca M. ↑,
79', Coppolaro M. ↓, Renzi A. ↑,
80', Ladinetti R. ↓, Terrnava D. ↑,
80', Montevago D. ↓, Nepi A. ↑,
87', Gemello L. 🟨,
87', Manzari G. ↓, Canotto L. ↑,
90+1', Renzi A. 🟨,
90+7', Varela Djamanca M. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arezzo won 2.

Arezzo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Perugia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Arezzo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Arezzo is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Arezzo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Arezzo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Perugia	8	4	1	3	9:12	-3	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie C Group B
09.03.26	Campobasso - Arezzo	0:1 ✺
04.03.26	Arezzo - Ternana	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Arezzo - Ravenna	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Gubbio - Arezzo	0:1 ✺
12.02.26	Carpi - Arezzo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLTWW
- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
09.03.26	Perugia - Pontedera	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	Livorno - Perugia	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Perugia - Pineto	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Perugia - Carpi	1:1 ✺
12.02.26	Pianese - Perugia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
09.11.25	Perugia - Arezzo	0:0
05.04.25	Arezzo - Perugia	2:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
27.11.24	Perugia - Arezzo	1:2
Italian Serie C Group B
22.11.24	Perugia - Arezzo	2:0
21.04.24	Perugia - Arezzo	1:1
18.12.23	Arezzo - Perugia	2:0
31.01.21	Perugia - Arezzo	3:0

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