The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cesena 63%
Draw 20.3%
Padova 16.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
58.1%
22.4%
19.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.2%
23.6%
18.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
86.8%
5.7%
7.5%
Cesena - Padova Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Cesena (1.56) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Cesena will win
(46 of 53 users predict this - 86.79%). Confidence interval (95%): 77.67% โ 95.91%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cesena will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Cesena (votes: 8 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Siano A. (G) 15. Ciofi A. (C) 19. Zaro G. 24. Mangraviti M. 27. Corazza T. 25. Bisoli D. 10. Bastoni S. 32. Olivieri M. 14. Berti T. 9. Shpendi C. 7. Cerri A.
14. Fortin M. (G) 72. Faedo C. 5. Perrotta M. (C) 58. Pastina C. 18. Ghiglione P. 8. Fusi P. 86. Giunti G. 23. Di Maggio L. 41. Silva J. 24. Caprari G. 11. Seghetti A.
Substitutes
6. Arrigoni T. 4. Castagnetti M. 8. Castrovilli G. 11. Ciervo R. 40. Ferretti L. (G) 99. Frabotta G. 70. Francesconi M. 18. Guidi M. 23. Magni V. 26. Piacentini M. 77. Tosku F. 22. Vrioni G.
21. Bacci J. 4. Belli F. 13. Boi A. 20. Bortolussi M. 92. Buonaiuto C. 17. Capelli A. 6. Crisetig L. 77. Di Mariano F. 30. Favale G. 1. Mouquet L. (G) 22. Sorrentino A. (G) 7. Varas K.
Coaches
Cole A.
Breda R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 3)
2', 0 - 1, Di Maggio L. ⚽,
5', 1 - 1, Shpendi C. ⚽, Cerri A. (A),
7', 2 - 1, Cerri A. ⚽, Shpendi C. (A),
13', 2 - 2, Di Maggio L. ⚽, Ghiglione P. (A),
17', 2 - 3, Caprari G. ⚽, Fusi P. (A),
45+2', 3 - 3, Shpendi C. ⚽, Olivieri M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Fusi P. ↓, Favale G. ↑,
50', Perrotta M. 🟨,
51', Mangraviti M. 🟨,
62', Cerri A. ↓, Vrioni G. ↑,
62', Di Maggio L. ↓, Buonaiuto C. ↑,
63', Ghiglione P. ↓, Capelli A. ↑,
66', Bastoni S. ↓, Castagnetti M. ↑,
70', Giunti G. 🟨,
74', Perrotta M. ↓, Boi A. ↑,
79', Corazza T. ↓, Ciervo R. ↑,
81', Caprari G. ↓, Varas K. ↑,
84', 3 - 4, Seghetti A. ⚽,
87', Pastina C. 🟨,
90+2', Olivieri M. 🟨,
90+5', Silva J. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 1.
Cesena is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Padova has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
In this match, Cesena is the team to beat.
There will not play in Cesena: Klinsmann J.
(Neck Injury)
There will not play in Padova: Bacci J.
(Surgery)
Barreca A.
(Muscle Injury)
Harder J.
(Muscle Injury)
Lasagna K.
(Muscle Injury)
Papu Gomez
(Inactive)
Villa L.
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Cesena: Frabotta G.
(Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 0.9:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Cesena won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).