Match Info
NPL Premier Division - Round 37Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday
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Morpeth Town |
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Leek Town |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.22 |
3.2 |
2.88 |
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 |
2.24 |
3.39 |
2.91 |
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 |
2.26 |
3.51 |
2.93 |
 Watch |
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2.2 |
3.1 |
2.8 |
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2.22 |
3.25 |
2.91 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↓
(2.24) |
3.29 ↓
(3.54) |
2.89 ↓
(2.94) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Morpeth Town
40.8% | Draw
27.6% | Leek Town
31.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Morpeth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Leek Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leek Town than the current prediction. (-0.7%)Morpeth Town - Leek Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 36', 0 - 1, Heath C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 and 14).Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.Morpeth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Morpeth won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).Including home match between the teams, Morpeth won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 17 | Leek | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 22:23 | -1 | 10 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Morpeth Town - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.76%, but this team recently wins 90% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| English NPL Premier Division | | | 16.08.25 | Leek Town - Morpeth Town | 1:0 | | 29.03.25 | Morpeth Town - Leek Town | 1:1 | | 08.03.25 | Leek Town - Morpeth Town | 0:1 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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