Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 25

Date: 6 February 2024, Tuesday

Location: Broadhurst Park (Manchester)


	United of Manchester		Radcliffe

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.8	1.73
	3.6	4	1.75	Watch
	3.46	3.85	1.82
	3.54	4.5	1.75
	3.5	3.9	1.73
	3.75	4.05	1.72
	3.6	4	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (3.05)	4.01 ↑ (3.75)	1.75 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

United of Manchester
25.4%

Draw
22.6%

Radcliffe
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

24.2%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

25.6%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

United of Manchester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Radcliffe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Radcliffe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for United of Manchester than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radcliffe than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

United of Manchester - Radcliffe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North).

Last 5 head-to-head matches United of Manchester won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Radcliffe have a series of home games.

Radcliffe will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches United of Manchester won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17-18.

Including matches at home between the teams United of Manchester won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC United of Manchester
English NPL Premier Division
03.02.24	United of Manchester - Gainsborough Trinity	2:0 ✺
30.01.24	United of Manchester - Marine	0:3 ✺
27.01.24	Matlock Town - United of Manchester	3:0 ✺
13.01.24	Bradford Park Avenue - United of Manchester	2:4 ✺
06.01.24	Ilkeston - United of Manchester	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLWL
- Radcliffe FC
English NPL Premier Division
03.02.24	Radcliffe - Guiseley	3:4 ✺
27.01.24	Bamber Bridge - Radcliffe	1:5 ✺
20.01.24	Macclesfield Town - Radcliffe	2:3 ✺
16.01.24	Basford United - Radcliffe	1:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.01.24	Radcliffe - Barnet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
28.10.23	United of Manchester - Radcliffe	2:3 penalties
English NPL Premier Division
28.08.23	Radcliffe - United of Manchester	5:0
02.01.23	Radcliffe - United of Manchester	1:0
29.08.22	United of Manchester - Radcliffe	1:2
01.01.22	Radcliffe - United of Manchester	3:3
30.08.21	United of Manchester - Radcliffe	3:0
01.01.20	United of Manchester - Radcliffe	3:2

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