Match Info

J3 League - Round 25

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Sunpro Alwin (Matsumoto)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Matsumoto Yamaga		Vanraure Hachinohe

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.95	2.15
	3.1	3	2.18
	3.41	3.11	2.22
	3.28	2.98	2.30	Watch
	3.2	2.8	2.2
	3.22	3	2.2	Watch
	2.95	2.95	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.82)	2.97 ↑ (2.86)	2.26 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matsumoto Yamaga
28.7%

Draw
30.8%

Vanraure Hachinohe
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

31.9%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

32.3%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matsumoto Yamaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Vanraure Hachinohe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vanraure Hachinohe than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vanraure Hachinohe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Matsumoto Yamaga - Vanraure Hachinohe Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Matsumoto Yamaga (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Matsumoto Yamaga (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ouchi I. (G) 44. Nonomura T. 4. Takahashi S. 16. Miyabe T. 24. Ogawa D. 15. Yamamoto K. 25. Kawakami K. 40. Higuchi D. 41. Murakoshi K. 10. Kikui Y. 43. Hayashi M.	13. Onishi S. (G) 22. Shirai T. 20. Minoda K. 11. Yukie H. 7. Sato A. 8. Otoizumi S. 16. Kaburaki M. 80. Nagata K. 5. Inazumi D. 9. Sawakami R. 99. Nakano S.
Substitutes
28. Fujieda K. 35. Kanda S. (G) 20. Maeda R. 36. Matsumura G. 18. Ohashi H. 22. Saso K. 19. Sugita H. 42. Tanaka S. 17. Yamamoto R.	30. Inami Y. 27. Kokubun M. 45. Nascimento G. 17. Sasaki K. 25. Taniguchi Y. (G) 47. Wakizaka R. 29. Yagishita D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Kaburaki M. ↓, Inami Y. ↑,
66', Nakano S. ↓, Sasaki K. ↑,
75', Ogawa D. ↓, Yamamoto R. ↑,
75', Yamamoto K. ↓, Ohashi H. ↑,
75', Murakoshi K. ↓, Maeda R. ↑,
80', Hayashi M. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
81', Nagata K. ↓, Wakizaka R. ↑,
88', Miyabe T. ↓, Fujieda K. ↑,
89', Sawakami R. ↓, Nascimento G. ↑,
89', Inazumi D. ↓, Kokubun M. ↑,
90', Wakizaka R. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 2.

Matsumoto Yamaga has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vanraure is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Vanraure is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Matsumoto Yamaga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matsumoto Yamaga
Japan J3 League
23.08.25	Gainare Tottori - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Ryūkyū	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Gifu	1:0 ✺
19.07.25	Nagano Parceiro - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:0 ✺
12.07.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Nara Club	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TTWLW
- Vanraure Hachinohe
Japan J3 League
23.08.25	Vanraure Hachinohe - Osaka	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Nagano Parceiro - Vanraure Hachinohe	0:1 ✺
26.07.25	Vanraure Hachinohe - Gainare Tottori	3:2 ✺
19.07.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Vanraure Hachinohe	0:1 ✺
12.07.25	Vanraure Hachinohe - Gifu	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
01.06.25	Vanraure Hachinohe - Matsumoto Yamaga	2:0
06.07.24	Vanraure Hachinohe - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:0
03.05.24	Matsumoto Yamaga - Vanraure Hachinohe	1:2
30.09.23	Vanraure Hachinohe - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:2
22.07.23	Matsumoto Yamaga - Vanraure Hachinohe	3:0
31.07.22	Matsumoto Yamaga - Vanraure Hachinohe	0:1
02.07.22	Vanraure Hachinohe - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:1

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