Match Info

CHINA: SUPER LEAGUE - ROUND 34

Date: 31 December 2022, Saturday

Location: Wuhua County Olympic Sports Centre (Meizhou)

Referee: Zhang Lei (Chn)


	Meizhou Hakka		Guangzhou Evergrande

	1	X	2
	1.73	4.2	4.2	Watch
	1.8	3.7	3.7
	1.75	3.9	3.9
	1.75	3.9	3.95
	1.81	3.95	3.59
	1.5	4.33	4.75
	1.81	3.88	3.84
	1.75	3.9	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.55)	3.97 ↓ (4.2)	3.99 ↓ (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Meizhou Hakka
53.4%

Draw
23.4%

Guangzhou Evergrande
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

21.9%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

14.8%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Meizhou Hakka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Meizhou Hakka's form might have worsened.

Guangzhou Evergrande has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Meizhou Hakka than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Meizhou Hakka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	18.2%	27.3%

Meizhou Hakka - Guangzhou Evergrande Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Meizhou Hakka will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Guangzhou Evergrande will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Meizhou Hakka: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League).

Guangzhou Evergrande is Relegated to Jia League

Guangzhou Evergrande has the most likely position - 1 (100%), has project points - 72, has currently - 72, has not chance of relegated, was already of qualify for acl, was already of win league.

Recent matches Meizhou Hakka is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guangzhou Evergrande has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Guangzhou Evergrande could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Guangzhou Evergrande have a series of home games.

In this match Meizhou Hakka is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Meizhou Hakka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Meizhou Hakka
Chinese Super League
23.12.22	Meizhou Hakka - Changchun Yatai	1:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.12.22	Chengdu Rongcheng - Meizhou Hakka	3:0 ✺
Chinese Super League
15.12.22	Meizhou Hakka - Shanghai Port	0:1 ✺
10.12.22	Zhejiang Professional - Meizhou Hakka	2:0 ✺
05.12.22	Hebei CFFC - Meizhou Hakka	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLLW
- Guangzhou Evergrande TH
Chinese Super League
27.12.22	Guangzhou Evergrande - Changchun Yatai	1:4 ✺
23.12.22	Guangzhou Evergrande - Beijing Guoan	1:3 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
18.12.22	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Guangzhou Evergrande	3:1 ✺
Chinese Super League
15.12.22	Guangzhou Evergrande - Shandong Taishan	2:4 ✺
10.12.22	Guangzhou Evergrande - Guangzhou City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
09.10.22	Guangzhou Evergrande - Meizhou Hakka	1:3

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