Match Info

AFC Champions League Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Suwon Sports Complex (Suwon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	Q Football Asia
Australia	Channel 10
Brazil	Disney+
China	iQIYI, Migu
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Melbourne City		NTV Beleza

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	2.62
	10.76	6.44	1.19	Watch
	2.15	3.7	2.6
	2.91	3.3	2.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.53 ↑ (1.76)	4.21 ↑ (4.1)	2.15 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne City
23.9%

Draw
25.7%

NTV Beleza
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

22.7%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

21.6%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-28.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melbourne City's form might have worsened.

NTV Beleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting NTV Beleza's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (+31.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melbourne City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NTV Beleza than the current prediction. (-26.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for NTV Beleza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Melbourne City - NTV Beleza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Mieres M. (G) 5. Otto T. 13. Stott R. (C) 3. Turner D. 14. Hughes L. 18. Davidson L. 6. McKenna L. 16. Roestbakken K. 21. Keane A. 9. McNamara H. 12. McMahon S.	31. Ohba S. (G) 16. Aoki Y. 8. Naomoto H. 3. Muramatsu T. (C) 26. Honda M. 6. Sumida R. 34. Aso T. 5. Matsuda S. 7. Kitamura N. 19. Shiokoshi Y. 14. Shinjo M.
Substitutes
25. Aoyagi A. (G) 8. Apostolakis A. 23. Barbieri M. (G) 7. Butrus D. 22. Henry B. 11. Jackson D. 17. Jugovic K. 20. Karic C. 10. Rako I. 19. Sarris K. 15. Uchendu C. 2. Wilson E.	25. Danelle Tan 4. Doko M. 11. Hiwatari M. 15. Ikegami S. 33. Iwashimizu A. 20. Kobayashi R. 18. Matsunaga M. 1. Noda N. (G) 22. Sakabe Y. 21. Shimizu M. (G) 13. Ujihara R. 30. Utsugi R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Shiokoshi Y. ⚽, Matsuda S. (A),
10', 0 - 2, Shinjo M. ⚽,
37', 1 - 2, Keane A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Hughes L. ↓, Henry B. ↑,
46', Honda M. ↓, Doko M. ↑,
70', Naomoto H. ↓, Matsunaga M. ↑,
70', Davidson L. ↓, Uchendu C. ↑,
72', Aoki Y. 🟨,
78', 1 - 3, Shiokoshi Y. ⚽,
79', Aso T. ↓, Utsugi R. ↑,
80', Roestbakken K. ↓, Butrus D. ↑,
88', Shinjo M. ↓, Danelle Tan ↑,
88', Kitamura N. ↓, Iwashimizu A. ↑,

Preview

Neutral location.

Melbourne City is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Beleza's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Beleza has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne City FC Women
Australian A-League Women
16.05.26	Melbourne City - Wellington Phoenix	3:1 ✺
09.05.26	Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City	0:1 ✺
05.04.26	Newcastle Jets - Melbourne City	1:2 ✺
AFC Champions League Women
29.03.26	Melbourne City - Nasaf Qarshi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWW
- NTV Beleza
Japan WE League Women
16.05.26	NTV Beleza - Albirex Niigata	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - NTV Beleza	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - NTV Beleza	2:0 ✺
Japan WE League Cup Women
29.04.26	Omiya Ardija - NTV Beleza	2:3 penalties ✺
Japan WE League Women
24.04.26	JEF United Chiba - NTV Beleza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLWW

Melbourne City - NTV Beleza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide