The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Newcastle Jets 22.1%
Draw 23.3%
Melbourne City 54.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.4%
23.1%
56.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.9%
22.5%
57.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newcastle Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Melbourne City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Newcastle Jets - Melbourne City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
50. Boertje A. (G) 23. Karipidis Z. 3. Cicco C. 4. Prior N. 2. Wilson J. 15. Bates E. 18. Hoban S. 10. Copus-Brown L. (C) 26. Allan J. 14. Ayres M. 44. Brown K.
23. Barbieri M. (G) 16. Roestbakken K. 5. Otto T. 13. Stott R. (C) 3. Turner D. 6. McKenna L. 14. Hughes L. 18. Davidson L. 22. Henry B. 21. Keane A. 11. Jackson D.
Substitutes
32. Adams C. 13. Allan L. 35. Dunbar L. (G) 9. Johnson H. M. 11. Lancaster C. 5. Page O.
26. Biggs C. 17. Jugovic K. 24. Mieres M. (G) 10. Rako I. 19. Sarris K. 2. Wilson E.
Coaches
Hoyle S.
Matricciani M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 1 - 0, Ayres M. ⚽, Allan J. (A),
67', Bates E. ↓, Adams C. ↑,
71', Henry B. 🟨,
71', Adams C. 🟨,
72', 1 - 1, Keane A. ⚽, Roestbakken K. (A),
80', Brown K. ↓, Allan L. ↑,
83', Hoban S. 🟨,
87', Henry B. ↓, Jugovic K. ↑,
90+7', Karipidis Z. ↓, Page O. ↑,
90+7', 1 - 2, Turner D. ⚽, Roestbakken K. (A),
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Melbourne City is Qualified for A~League Women (Play Offs Semi~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle Jets won 1.
In recent matches, Newcastle Jets has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Melbourne City is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Newcastle Jets may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Melbourne City is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle Jets won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 18 matches, and goals 11:52. (average 0.6:2.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle Jets won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 4:22. (average 0.4:2.4).