Match Info

A-League Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: AAMI Park (Melbourne)

Referee: Allum S. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Channel 10, Paramount+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Melbourne Victory		Melbourne City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.2
	2.92	3.35	2.12
	3.22	3.62	2.2
	3.08	3.66	2.15	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.1
	3.03	3.54	2.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.3)	3.45 ↑ (3.1)	2.16 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne Victory
30.8%

Draw
26.7%

Melbourne City
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

28.4%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Victory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melbourne Victory's form might have worsened.

Melbourne City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melbourne City's recent form is better than expected.

Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Newbon C. (G) 24. Pickett L. 3. Bunge C. 18. Morrison K. (C) 4. Blissett C. 7. O'Grady E. 6. Ray T. 81. Maher G. 9. Furphy H. 10. Pollicina R. 23. Lowe R.	24. Mieres M. (G) 5. Otto T. 13. Stott R. (C) 3. Turner D. 22. Henry B. 18. Davidson L. 6. McKenna L. 16. Roestbakken K. 21. Keane A. 9. McNamara H. 12. McMahon S.
Substitutes
27. Curtis R. 11. Flannery N. 66. Jancevski A. 5. Sakalis S. 8. Saveska S. 16. White K. 30. Woodward P. (G)	25. Aoyagi A. (G) 8. Apostolakis A. 23. Barbieri M. (G) 14. Hughes L. 11. Jackson D. 20. Karic C. 2. Wilson E.
Coaches
Hopkins J.	Matricciani M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', Furphy H. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, McKenna L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', O'Grady E. ↓, Flannery N. ↑,
78', Lowe R. ↓, White K. ↑,
80', Keane A. 🟨,
81', McNamara H. ↓, Hughes L. ↑,
86', Keane A. ↓, Jackson D. ↑,
87', Blissett C. ↓, Jancevski A. ↑,
90+4', Henry B. ↓, Apostolakis A. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 0.

Melbourne City is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Melbourne Victory may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Melbourne City will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:28. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Victory won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1.1:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne Victory Women
Australian A-League Women
25.04.26	Canberra United - Melbourne Victory	1:3 ✺
03.04.26	Perth Glory - Melbourne Victory	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	Sydney FC - Melbourne Victory	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:0 ✺
20.02.26	Melbourne Victory - Wellington Phoenix	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLWT
- Melbourne City FC Women
Australian A-League Women
05.04.26	Newcastle Jets - Melbourne City	1:2 ✺
AFC Champions League Women
29.03.26	Melbourne City - Nasaf Qarshi	2:1 ✺
Australian A-League Women
22.03.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne City	1:2 ✺
18.03.26	Melbourne City - Adelaide United	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Melbourne City - Canberra United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
15.02.26	Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City	0:0
23.12.25	Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory	2:1
01.02.25	Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory	1:1
08.11.24	Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City	2:3
16.03.24	Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City	0:0
23.12.23	Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory	1:0
15.04.23	Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory	3:4 penalties

Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide