Match Info

A-League Women - Round 5

Date: 4 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Ctrl cyber Pitch (Melbourne)

Referee: Williams C. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Channel 10, Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	HOY TV
New-zealand	Sky Sport 2
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Melbourne City		Western Sydney Wanderers

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.38	4.55	5.9
	1.4	5.4	6.28
	1.42	5.04	6.23	Watch
	1.36	4.6	5.5
	1.36	4.9	6.17	Watch
	1.38	4.75	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.31)	4.87 ↓ (5.19)	6.01 ↓ (6.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Melbourne City
66.1%

Draw
18.8%

Western Sydney Wanderers
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.9%

17.4%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.5%

17.8%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Western Sydney Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Sydney Wanderers than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Melbourne City - Western Sydney Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Mieres M. (G) 16. Roestbakken K. 13. Stott R. (C) 5. Otto T. 3. Turner D. 22. Henry B. 12. McMahon S. 8. Apostolakis A. 11. Jackson D. 21. Keane A. 15. Uchendu C.	20. Khamis S. (G) 3. Ying Wang 7. Harrison A. (C) 4. Hooks P. 11. Matos D. 37. Harada E. 6. Chessari A. 14. Buchanan E. 17. Ng-Saad A. 10. Yuan C. 19. Younis T.
Substitutes
23. Barbieri M. (G) 17. Jugovic K. 20. Karic C. 6. McKenna L. 9. McNamara H. 2. Wilson E.	21. Barker A. 5. Bennett A. 22. Cerne A. 12. Edwards B. (G) 24. Fazzari N. 15. Rue C.
Coaches
Matricciani M.	Abrahams G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Keane A. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', McMahon S. ↓, McKenna L. ↑,
46', Keane A. ↓, McNamara H. ↑,
69', Yuan C. ↓, Rue C. ↑,
77', Apostolakis A. ↓, Wilson E. ↑,
79', Chessari A. ↓, Barker A. ↑,
89', Uchendu C. ↓, Karic C. ↑,
89', Harrison A. ↓, Cerne A. ↑,
90+4', Khamis S. 🟨,
90+8', Wilson E. ↓, Jugovic K. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Melbourne City has had a series of away games.

In this match, Melbourne City is the clear favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:16. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne City won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:9. (average 2.6:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne City FC Women
Australian A-League Women
31.01.26	Adelaide United - Melbourne City	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Perth Glory - Melbourne City	0:2 ✺
20.01.26	Brisbane Roar - Melbourne City	1:1 ✺
16.01.26	Melbourne City - Newcastle Jets	1:3 ✺
09.01.26	Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWTLW
- Western Sydney Wanderers Women
Australian A-League Women
31.01.26	Sydney FC - Western Sydney Wanderers	2:3 ✺
24.01.26	Central Coast Mariners - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:2 ✺
16.01.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Brisbane Roar	1:1 ✺
09.01.26	Perth Glory - Western Sydney Wanderers	3:1 ✺
03.01.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Canberra United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
25.01.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne City	0:1
29.11.24	Melbourne City - Western Sydney Wanderers	2:0
14.01.24	Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne City	1:0
12.11.23	Melbourne City - Western Sydney Wanderers	4:3
20.01.23	Melbourne City - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:0
08.01.23	Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne City	2:0
05.03.22	Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne City	0:2

Melbourne City - Western Sydney Wanderers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide