Match Info

Australia Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Lakeside Stadium (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	South Melbourne		Auckland FC

	1	X	2
	7	4.75	1.4	Watch
	5.5	4.2	1.44
	6.3	4.65	1.4	Watch
	6.1	5.01	1.42
	5.54	4.59	1.50	Watch
	6	4.33	1.5
	7.13	4.75	1.41
	7.2	5	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.35 ↑ (5.05)	4.66 ↑ (4.33)	1.43 ↓ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Melbourne
14.7%

Draw
20%

Auckland FC
65.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18%

20.9%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Melbourne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Auckland FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

South Melbourne - Auckland FC Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Auckland FC will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Auckland FC will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Diaz Lopez J. (G) 3. Lampard J. 5. Marshall J. 4. Jankovic M. (C) 27. Painter-Andrews J. 99. Pope J. 15. Iwakami Y. 88. Leech C. 26. Dovison C. 24. Bonada N. 22. Mikkola M.	1. Woud M. (G) 17. Elliot C. 23. Hall D. 2. Sakai H. (C) 15. De Vries F. 27. Rogerson L. 8. Gallegos L. F. 7. Howieson C. 11. Francois M. 21. Randall J. 10. May G.
Substitutes
7. Brennan A. 30. Charlston J. (G) 6. Inglese L. 14. Menelaou A. 19. Mesourouni A. 17. O'Sullivan E.	22. Brimmer J. 77. Brook L. 16. Coulibaly A. 50. Eli J. (G) 14. Gillion L. 19. Middleton O. 52. Vicelich L.
Coaches
Cohadzic S.	Corica S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', De Vries F. 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Randall J. ⚽, De Vries F. (A),
30', Gallegos L. F. 🟨,
36', Bonada N. 🟨,
45+2', Mikkola M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', 0 - 2, Randall J. ⚽,
59', Dovison C. ↓, Brennan A. ↑,
59', Pope J. ↓, Menelaou A. ↑,
69', 0 - 3, Francois M. ⚽, Rogerson L. (A),
71', Francois M. ↓, Brook L. ↑,
71', Randall J. ↓, Gillion L. ↑,
71', Gallegos L. F. ↓, Brimmer J. ↑,
74', Leech C. ↓, Mesourouni A. ↑,
74', Iwakami Y. ↓, Inglese L. ↑,
74', Painter-Andrews J. ↓, O'Sullivan E. ↑,
77', Sakai H. ↓, Vicelich L. ↑,
85', May G. ↓, Middleton O. ↑,

Preview

South Melbourne is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In this match, Auckland is the clear favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Melbourne FC
Australian NPL Victoria
03.08.25	South Melbourne - Green Gully	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	Heidelberg United - South Melbourne	1:1 ✺
Australian Cup
23.07.25	South Hobart - South Melbourne	1:2 ✺
Australian NPL Victoria
19.07.25	South Melbourne - Altona Magic	2:0 ✺
04.07.25	Dandenong City - South Melbourne	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TTWWT
- Auckland FC
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Brisbane Roar - Auckland FC	2:2 ✺
Australian Cup
29.07.25	Gold Coast Knights - Auckland FC	0:4 ✺
Australian A-League
24.05.25	Auckland FC - Melbourne Victory	0:2 ✺
17.05.25	Melbourne Victory - Auckland FC	0:1 ✺
03.05.25	Western United - Auckland FC	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWLWL

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