Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 9

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Álvarez Claro (Melilla)


	Melilla		CD Extremadura

	1	X	2
	2.52	2.88	2.72
	2.91	2.82	2.54	Watch
	2.56	2.82	2.74
	2.6	2.8	2.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.91)	2.83 ↑ (2.82)	2.7 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melilla
34.3%

Draw
32.1%

CD Extremadura
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

32.5%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

32.9%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

CD Extremadura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Extremadura than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Melilla - CD Extremadura Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Extremadura may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Melilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
26.10.25	Antoniano - Melilla	3:2 ✺
19.10.25	Melilla - Atlético Malagueño	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Real Jaén - Melilla	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Melilla - Xerez CD	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	La Unión - Melilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWTTL
- CD Extremadura
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	CD Extremadura - Las Palmas	3:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
25.10.25	CD Extremadura - Xerez Deportivo	3:2 ✺
19.10.25	Antoniano - CD Extremadura	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Lorca Deportiva - CD Extremadura	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	CD Extremadura - UCAM Murcia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWLTT

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