Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 21

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Álvarez Claro (Melilla)


	Melilla		Ceuta

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.8	2.25
	3	2.95	2.2
	3.25	3	2.3	Watch
	3.05	2.92	2.29
	3.21	3.05	2.35
	3.2	2.88	2.05
	3.18	2.99	2.33
	3.2	2.9	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↓ (3.24)	2.94 ↑ (2.88)	2.25 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melilla
28.7%

Draw
30.9%

Ceuta
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

30.8%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

30.6%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Melilla - Ceuta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Montoya J. (G) 12. Hernandez D. 19. Rodriguez M. 3. Yuste A. 15. Martin D. 22. Manjam A. 10. Gonzalez J. (C) 4. Suarez D. 6. Hernandez P. 17. Perez S. 20. Garcia D.	1. Lopez P. (G) 7. Ahmed A. 6. Erimuya S. 5. Lolo Gonzalez 16. Redruello Nimo C. 12. Uche C. 8. Melendez A. 21. Jota 23. Gonzalez N. 22. Teguia C. 9. Rodri
Substitutes
14. Akurugu A. 11. Bandaogo A. 16. Caro J. 8. Cotan A. 9. Jose Enrique 21. Mateo J. 7. Morillo V. 23. Niang M. 2. Pepe Romero 13. Salcedo J. (G)	4. Caparros A. 15. Doncel C. 30. El Ftouhi S. 17. Garcia A. 29. Hoyos J. 14. Iglesias J. 13. Mejias T. (G) 2. Rodriguez F. 24. Stopajnik T. (G)

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 9).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Ceuta will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Melilla won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Melilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.01.24	Algeciras - Melilla	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Melilla - Real Murcia	0:0 ✺
04.01.24	Granada B - Melilla	0:1 ✺
17.12.23	Melilla - Linares Deportivo	1:0 ✺
10.12.23	Atlético Sanluqueño - Melilla	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LTWWL
- AD Ceuta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.01.24	Ceuta - San Fernando	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Ceuta - Málaga	3:2 ✺
03.01.24	Antequera - Ceuta	0:0 ✺
17.12.23	Ceuta - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
10.12.23	Intercity - Ceuta	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.10.23	Ceuta - Melilla	0:0

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