Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 32

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Álvarez Claro (Melilla)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	CMM TV, Television Melilla


	Melilla		Móstoles URJC

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	4
	1.65	3.4	4.6
	1.82	3.3	4.1
	1.8	3.42	4.45
	1.8	3.37	4.23
	1.8	3.4	4.32
	1.82	3.3	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.74)	3.37 ↑ (3.33)	4.26 ↓ (4.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melilla
51.4%

Draw
27.1%

Móstoles URJC
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

27.3%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

29.4%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Móstoles URJC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Melilla - Móstoles URJC Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Móstoles (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Melilla will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Melilla will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Melilla (votes: 4 - 80%). Móstoles (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Gil O. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Alonso J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 2 - 1, Alonso J. ⚽,
85', 2 - 2, Ricoy L. ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 2, Iglesias E. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Melilla is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Melilla won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Melilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
13.04.25	Getafe B - Melilla	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Melilla - Navalcarnero	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Coria - Melilla	2:2 ✺
23.03.25	Melilla - Illescas	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Conquense - Melilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWTWL
- CD Móstoles URJC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
13.04.25	Móstoles URJC - Atlético Paso	4:1 ✺
05.04.25	Colonia Moscardó - Móstoles URJC	0:2 ✺
30.03.25	Tenerife B - Móstoles URJC	2:1 ✺
23.03.25	Móstoles URJC - Getafe B	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Navalcarnero - Móstoles URJC	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.12.24	Móstoles URJC - Melilla	0:1

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