Match Info

MALTA: Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 5

Date: 10 February 2025, Monday

Location: Tony Bezzina Stadium (Paola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Naxxar Lions		Balzan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.05	3.3	2.14	Watch
	3	3.53	2.13
	3.08	3.43	2.12	Watch
	3.1	3	2.2
	3.1	3.22	2.15
	3.05	3.3	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (3.01)	3.3 ↓ (3.37)	2.15 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Naxxar Lions
29.8%

Draw
27.7%

Balzan
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

27.1%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

26.5%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naxxar Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Balzan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naxxar Lions than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Balzan than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Naxxar Lions - Balzan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Debono M. (G) 9. Bolanos E. 15. Cassar R. (C) 10. Farias E. 25. Fernando Barbosa 18. Hugo Santos 20. Laton 23. Maicon Souza 8. Pace Cocks N. 4. Sane B. 44. Yasukaze I.	99. Golovic D. (G) 27. Akpan U. 5. Arab S. (C) 23. Blasco V. 10. Busuttil J. 7. Caruana T. 14. Dimeji A. 42. Floro R. 21. Lukovic L. 8. Pulis N. 9. Westendorf I.
Substitutes
28. Bonanno G. 17. Bonanno J. J. 29. Borg J. 22. Degabriele S. 19. Farrugia J. 12. Fenech A. (G) 13. Haber K. 31. Ho-A-Tham Z. 3. Micallef N. 11. Ndao T. 7. Yamaguchi T.	44. Bacanin M. 24. Borg W. 4. Cacciatore G. 1. Ciappara D. (G) 19. Farrugia G. 22. Grech J. 6. Grima M. 11. Hili B. 18. Jankovic L. 2. Kerkez N. 17. Ndombasi Tukilonga M.
Coaches
Vella G.	Willard D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Akpan U. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Yasukaze I. ↓, Farrugia J. ↑,
46', Bolanos E. ↓, Yamaguchi T. ↑,
59', Pace Cocks N. 🟨,
60', 🟨,
65', Cassar R. ↓, Micallef N. ↑,
73', 0 - 2, Busuttil J. ⚽,
76', Pace Cocks N. ↓, Ndao T. ↑,
84', Hugo Santos ↓, Ho-A-Tham Z. ↑,
89', Caruana T. ↓, Grima M. ↑,
90', 0 - 3, Lukovic L. ⚽,
90+1', Lukovic L. ↓, Bacanin M. ↑,
90+2', Blasco V. ↓, Hili B. ↑,
90+3', Busuttil J. ↓, Cacciatore G. ↑,
90+3', Akpan U. ↓, Grech J. ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: ) and 11 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Naxxar won 1.

Recent matches Naxxar is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Balzan is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Naxxar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Naxxar have a series of guest games.

Balzan will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Naxxar won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 11:28 (average 0.8:2.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Naxxar won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.6:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naxxar Lions
Maltese FA Trophy
06.02.25	Żurrieq - Naxxar Lions	0:4 ✺
Maltese Premier League
02.02.25	Mosta - Naxxar Lions	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Gżira United - Naxxar Lions	1:0 ✺
17.01.25	Sliema Wanderers - Naxxar Lions	4:0 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
11.01.25	Naxxar Lions - Melita	4:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLLW
- Balzan FC
Maltese Premier League
31.01.25	Balzan - Marsaxlokk	0:3 ✺
25.01.25	Żabbar St. Patrick - Balzan	3:0 ✺
17.01.25	Balzan - Mosta	3:2 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
11.01.25	Birkirkara - Balzan	2:1 ✺
Maltese Premier League
06.01.25	Birkirkara - Balzan	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
22.12.24	Balzan - Naxxar Lions	2:1
29.08.24	Balzan - Naxxar Lions	2:0
08.03.24	Naxxar Lions - Balzan	1:1
05.11.23	Balzan - Naxxar Lions	1:2
Maltese FA Trophy
20.01.18	Balzan - Naxxar Lions	2:0
Maltese Premier League
16.12.17	Naxxar Lions - Balzan	0:0
19.08.17	Balzan - Naxxar Lions	2:0

Upcoming Matches