Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday

Location: AutoZone Park (Memphis, TN)

Referee: Hernandez L. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+


	Memphis 901		Sacramento Republic

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.2	2.8
	2.25	3.4	2.95
	2.29	3.37	2.99
	2.32	3.32	3.01	Watch
	2.28	3.28	2.95	Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.58)	3.33 ↑ (3.26)	2.94 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Memphis 901
40.8%

Draw
27.8%

Sacramento Republic
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

28.4%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

27.9%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Memphis 901 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Memphis 901 than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Memphis 901 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	83.3%	0%

Memphis 901 - Sacramento Republic Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Memphis will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Deric T. (G) 19. Jimenez O. 2. Tulu 91. Cissoko A. 14. Ward A. 4. Hyndman E. 6. Duncan Z. 9. Nascimento L. 10. Lapa B. 99. Bakero J. 11. Marlon	1. Vitiello D. (G) 5. Timmer J. 24. Donovan C. 4. Desmond L. 18. Neville H. 43. Portillo J. J. 96. Fernandes L. 3. Viader D. 10. Parano C. 9. Herrera J. 19. Ross N.
Substitutes
21. Armenakas P. 77. Borczak D. 5. Careaga S. 22. Henry T. (G) 7. Meza N. 20. Pickering N. 18. Quezada A.	7. Amann T. 11. Cicerone R. 15. Jauregui R. 99. Mazzola J. (G) 23. Phillips K. 40. Sanchez A. 20. Willey B.
Coaches
Glass S.	Briggs M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Cissoko A. 🟨,
11', Duncan Z. 🟨,
24', Jimenez O. 🟨,
26', Lapa B. 🟨,
30', Neville H. 🟨,
39', Viader D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Herrera J. ↓, Cicerone R. ↑,
59', Bakero J. ↓, Borczak D. ↑,
61', Fernandes L. ↓, Amann T. ↑,
61', Parano C. ↓, Jauregui R. ↑,
68', Marlon 🟨,
72', Tulu 🟨,
74', Duncan Z. ↓, Careaga S. ↑,
74', Marlon ↓, Meza N. ↑,
76', Viader D. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
84', Lapa B. ↓, Armenakas P. ↑,
84', Nascimento L. ↓, Quezada A. ↑,

Preview

Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )

Recent matches Memphis is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sacramento Republic is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sacramento Republic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Memphis won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Memphis 901
USL Championship
05.10.24	Memphis 901 - Oakland Roots	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Louisville City - Memphis 901	4:2 ✺
14.09.24	Memphis 901 - North Carolina	3:0 ✺
11.09.24	Memphis 901 - Hartford Athletic	0:0 ✺
28.08.24	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Memphis 901	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 TLWTL
- Sacramento Republic FC
USL Championship
09.10.24	Sacramento Republic - Monterey Bay	2:2 ✺
05.10.24	San Antonio - Sacramento Republic	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Sacramento Republic - New Mexico United	4:0 ✺
21.09.24	Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic	2:1 ✺
18.09.24	New Mexico United - Sacramento Republic	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
30.03.24	Sacramento Republic - Memphis 901	1:0
15.07.23	Sacramento Republic - Memphis 901	1:1

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