Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 19

Date: 11 January 2025, Saturday

Location: RCDE Stadium (Cornella de Llobregat)

Referee: Martinez J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Angola	Z Sport La Liga
Argentina	ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, Now Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Plus
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Pakistan	ARY ZAP
Philippines	beIN Connect, Setanta Sports
Poland	Canal+ Sport Online, CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 4
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga
South-america	ESPN 2 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 2, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online
World	Disney+, SportsMax App


	Espanyol		Leganés

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.9	4.1	Watch
	2.15	3	3.8
	2.2	3	4	Watch
	2.11	3.16	4.18
	2.17	3.01	4.13	Watch
	2.15	2.9	4
	2.21	3.1	4.16	Watch
	2.2	3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.04)	3.01 ↓ (3.15)	4.05 ↓ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Espanyol
44.3%

Draw
31.9%

Leganés
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

30.4%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

31.4%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espanyol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Leganés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35%	52.5%	12.5%

Espanyol - Leganés Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Espanyol will win (votes: 14 - 35%). Leganés will win (votes: 5 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 21 - 52.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 37% – 68%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Garcia J. (G) 23. El Hilali O. 4. Kumbulla M. 6. Cabrera L. 14. Olivan B. 10. Lozano P. 31. Roca A. 12. Tejero A. 20. Kral A. 7. Puado J. 17. Jofre	13. Dmitrovic M. (G) 12. Rosier V. 5. Tapia R. 6. Gonzalez S. 22. Nastasic M. 11. Cruz J. 10. Raba D. 17. Neyou Y. 8. Cisse S. 14. Brasanac D. 9. de la Fuente M.
Substitutes
39. Almansa A. 35. Bauza R. 5. Calero F. 24. Cardona I. 16. Cheddira W. 8. Exposito 33. Fortuno A. (G) 3. Gomez S. 11. Milla P. 13. Pacheco F. (G) 40. Smith J. 9. Veliz A.	2. Altimira A. 36. Alvin (G) 28. Bachiller I. 19. Garcia D. 27. Garcia N. 20. Hernandez J. 21. Lopez R. 23. Munir El Haddadi 4. Porozo J. 1. Soriano J. (G)
Coaches
Gonzalez M.	Jimenez B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Cabrera L. ⚽, Kral A. (A),
14', 1 - 1, Cisse S. ⚽, de la Fuente M. (A),
14', Kral A. 🟨,
15', El Hilali O. 🟨,
45+1', Raba D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Roca A. ↓, Exposito ↑,
62', Tejero A. ↓, Veliz A. ↑,
69', Raba D. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
72', Brasanac D. 🟨,
79', Jofre ↓, Cardona I. ↑,
80', Lozano P. ↓, Calero F. ↑,
85', Neyou Y. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
85', de la Fuente M. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
90+1', Soriano J. 🟥,
90+3', Kral A. ↓, Cheddira W. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Espanyol won 1.

Espanyol is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Leganés is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Leganés could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Espanyol will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Espanyol: Catala J. (Knee Injury) Gragera J. (Ankle Injury) Ramon P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Leganés: Franquesa E. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez O. (Red Card) Saenz J. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Leganés: Raba D. (Muscle Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Espanyol won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11:11 (average 0.9:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Espanyol won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Espanyol
Spanish LaLiga
22.12.24	Las Palmas - Espanyol	1:0 ✺
18.12.24	Espanyol - Valencia	1:1 ✺
14.12.24	Espanyol - Osasuna	0:0 ✺
09.12.24	Getafe - Espanyol	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.24	Barbastro - Espanyol	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTTLL
- CD Leganés
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.01.25	Cartagena - Leganés	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
22.12.24	Leganés - Villarreal	2:5 ✺
15.12.24	Barcelona - Leganés	0:1 ✺
08.12.24	Leganés - Real Sociedad	0:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.24	Estepona - Leganés	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
12.04.24	Leganés - Espanyol	0:0
20.10.23	Espanyol - Leganés	0:1
11.04.21	Espanyol - Leganés	2:1
26.11.20	Leganés - Espanyol	2:0
Spanish LaLiga
05.07.20	Espanyol - Leganés	0:1
22.12.19	Leganés - Espanyol	2:0
12.05.19	Leganés - Espanyol	0:2

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