Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 22

Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday


	Mensajero		Gimnástica Segoviana

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.88	2.55
	2.65	3	2.4
	2.8	3.1	2.5	Watch
	2.63	2.92	2.39
	2.63	3.01	2.78
	2.64	2.98	2.7
	2.7	3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (2.82)	2.98 ↓ (3.1)	2.55 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mensajero
33.8%

Draw
30.5%

Gimnástica Segoviana
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

29.1%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

29.8%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mensajero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Gimnástica Segoviana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Mensajero - Gimnástica Segoviana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Mensajero is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Gimnástica Segoviana is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mensajero won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mensajero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
04.02.24	Cacereño - Mensajero	0:0 ✺
28.01.24	Mensajero - Talavera de la Reina	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Ursaria - Mensajero	2:2 ✺
14.01.24	Mensajero - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
07.01.24	Mensajero - CD Guadalajara	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.5 TWTWW
- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
04.02.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Getafe B	1:1 ✺
28.01.24	Villanovense - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:2 ✺
21.01.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Navalcarnero	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Numancia - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:1 ✺
07.01.24	Illescas - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.10.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - Mensajero	0:0

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