Match Info

Primera C - Round 7

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday


	Mercedes		Ituzaingó

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.85	2.7
	3.55	2.95	2.09	Watch
	3.47	2.92	2.04
	3.64	3.07	2.05	Watch
	4.07	2.94	1.95
	3.55	2.95	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (2.17)	2.95 (2.95)	2.15 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mercedes
26.4%

Draw
31.1%

Ituzaingó
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

30.9%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

31.1%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mercedes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mercedes's form might have worsened.

Ituzaingó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ituzaingó's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mercedes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ituzaingó, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Mercedes - Ituzaingó Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ituzaingó will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ituzaingó: 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ituzaingó will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Gatti F. N. ⚽,
30', Alani F. 🟥,
45+1', Fanti J. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 5).

Mercedes has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ituzaingó is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mercedes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.5:3).

Including matches at home between the teams Mercedes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:4

Last Results with these Odds

Mercedes - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 41.96%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Mercedes
Argentinian Primera C
13.04.25	Deportivo Español - Mercedes	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Mercedes - Atlético Claypole	0:1 ✺
31.03.25	Deportivo Muñiz - Mercedes	0:0 ✺
26.03.25	Mercedes - Justo José de Urquiza	0:1 ✺
18.03.25	El Porvenir - Mercedes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLL
- CA Ituzaingó
Argentinian Primera C
13.04.25	Ituzaingó - Central Córdoba de Rosario	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Puerto Nuevo - Ituzaingó	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Ituzaingó - Lugano	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Berazategui - Ituzaingó	0:1 ✺
07.03.25	Ituzaingó - Deportivo Español	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
16.09.24	Ituzaingó - Mercedes	2:1
13.04.24	Mercedes - Ituzaingó	0:4

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