Match Info

Date: 5 February 2022, Saturday


	Worthing		Wingate & Finchley

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	6
	1.31	5	6.8
	1.36	5.25	7.36
	1.33	5	6
	1.31	5.4	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.34)	5.13 ↑ (5)	6.73 ↑ (6.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worthing
68.7%

Draw
17.8%

Wingate & Finchley
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

18%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

11.7%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worthing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Wingate & Finchley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (-25.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Worthing that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wingate & Finchley than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wingate & Finchley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Worthing - Wingate & Finchley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Wingate & Finchley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Worthing is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Worthing won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Worthing won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worthing FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
29.01.22	Corinthian-Casuals - Worthing	1:1 ✺
25.01.22	Worthing - Folkestone Invicta	3:1 ✺
22.01.22	Worthing - Hornchurch	1:1 ✺
15.01.22	Worthing - Leatherhead	4:0 ✺
03.01.22	Carshalton Athletic - Worthing	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TWTWL
- Wingate & Finchley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
29.01.22	Wingate & Finchley - Bognor Regis Town	2:0 ✺
22.01.22	Folkestone Invicta - Wingate & Finchley	1:0 ✺
15.01.22	Kingstonian - Wingate & Finchley	2:0 ✺
08.01.22	Wingate & Finchley - Bowers & Pitsea	2:0 ✺
03.01.22	Wingate & Finchley - East Thurrock United	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
02.11.21	Wingate & Finchley - Worthing	1:3
07.03.20	Worthing - Wingate & Finchley	4:2
16.11.19	Wingate & Finchley - Worthing	2:3
23.02.19	Wingate & Finchley - Worthing	1:2
11.08.18	Worthing - Wingate & Finchley	2:1
27.01.18	Worthing - Wingate & Finchley	2:1
23.09.17	Wingate & Finchley - Worthing	1:0

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