Match Info

National League North - Round 46

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Merthyr Town		Fylde

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.5	1.48
	4.95	4.65	1.49
	5.07	4.69	1.47
	5.16	4.78	1.5	Watch
	5	4.2	1.5
	4.92	4.66	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.98 ↑ (4.78)	4.58 ↑ (4.52)	1.5 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merthyr Town
18.5%

Draw
20.1%

Fylde
61.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19.1%

20.2%

60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5%

19.6%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Fylde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Merthyr Town aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fylde than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Merthyr Town - Fylde Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Twamley L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
52', 1 - 1, Felipe ⚽,
55', 2 - 1, Cox C. ⚽,
57', 2 - 2, Thomas L. ⚽,
84', 2 - 3, Thomas L. ⚽,
90+9', 2 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League).

Merthyr has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fylde has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Merthyr may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fylde is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Merthyr won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Merthyr Town	14	3	6	5	15:19	-4	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merthyr Town
English National League North
18.04.26	Scarborough Athletic - Merthyr Town	2:1 ✺
14.04.26	Marine - Merthyr Town	1:3 ✺
11.04.26	Merthyr Town - Macclesfield Town	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	Hereford - Merthyr Town	3:0 ✺
03.04.26	Merthyr Town - Oxford City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLLT
- AFC Fylde
English National League North
18.04.26	Fylde - Southport	4:0 ✺
11.04.26	Chester - Fylde	1:0 ✺
06.04.26	Fylde - Radcliffe	4:3 ✺
03.04.26	Chorley - Fylde	2:0 ✺
31.03.26	Fylde - Marine	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
06.12.25	Fylde - Merthyr Town	1:0

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