Match Info
National League North - Round 7Date: 5 September 2026, SaturdayLocation: Penydarren Park (Merthyr)
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Merthyr Town |
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Macclesfield Town |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.90 |
3.70 |
2.00 |
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3.10 |
3.40 |
1.98 |
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3.10 |
3.50 |
1.97 |
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3.22 |
3.73 |
2.09 |
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3.18 |
3.79 |
2.04 |
Watch |
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3.15 |
3.65 |
2.03 |
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3.03 |
3.86 |
2.09 |
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3.00 |
3.60 |
2.03 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.09 ↓ (3.36) |
3.65 ↓ (3.77) |
2.03 ↑ (1.85) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 0.75
- The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Merthyr Town 29.7% | Draw 25.1% | Macclesfield Town 45.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Merthyr Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Macclesfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Macclesfield Town than the current prediction. (+3.4%)Merthyr Town - Macclesfield Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 55', 0 - 1, George A. ⚽,
- 83', 1 - 1, Foulston J. ⚽,
- 90+2', 2 - 1, Watts E. ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League).Merthyr is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).Macclesfield is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins). Macclesfield is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Merthyr won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).Including home match between the teams, Merthyr won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Outrights of English National League North for now
Macclesfield: 17.67% Merthyr Town: 1.41%
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Macclesfield | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 21 |
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| 13 | Merthyr Town | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 13 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Macclesfield Town - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 48.99%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;