The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Merthyr Town 40.9%
Draw 25.7%
Oxford City 33.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.7%
23.3%
30%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.1%
24%
29.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Merthyr Town's form might have worsened.
Oxford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Merthyr Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Merthyr Town - Oxford City Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Cox C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, Bearne J. ⚽,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 19).
Recent form of Merthyr has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Oxford City is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Oxford City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Merthyr won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
Outrights of English National League North for now
Oxford City: 5.6% Merthyr Town: 1.46%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Oxford City
10
6
2
2
18:7
11
20
13
Merthyr Town
10
3
4
3
12:11
1
13
Last Results with these Odds
Oxford City - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 29.97%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.
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