The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Merthyr Town 27.3%
Draw 26.1%
Radcliffe 46.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.7%
25.7%
37.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.4%
25.5%
37.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Merthyr Town's form might have worsened.
Radcliffe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Radcliffe's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Merthyr Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radcliffe than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Radcliffe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Merthyr may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
Last Results with these Odds
Radcliffe - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 37.63%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
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