The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Southport 43.6%
Draw 25.5%
Radcliffe 30.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47.5%
26.3%
26.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.6%
24.7%
24.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Southport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Radcliffe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southport than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Southport, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radcliffe than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Radcliffe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Southport - Radcliffe Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, McAllister F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', 0 - 2, James T. ⚽,
Preview
A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 20th and 21st in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southport won 3.
Southport is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Radcliffe have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Southport holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Southport has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 11:10 (averaging 1.8:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Southport against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 7:4 goals (averaging 2.3:1.3 per game).