Match Info

National League North - Round 1

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday


	Merthyr Town		Southport

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.55
	2.1	3.1	3
	2.48	3.2	2.62
	2.52	3.35	2.71
	2.63	3.05	2.73	Watch
	2.51	3.24	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.1)	3.19 ↓ (3.25)	2.71 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Merthyr Town
37.4%

Draw
28.7%

Southport
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

27.5%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Merthyr Town's form might have worsened.

Southport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Merthyr Town - Southport Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
82', 1 - 0, Twamley L. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 0, Lewis M. ⚽,

Preview

Merthyr may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Merthyr will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merthyr Town
Club Friendly
25.07.25	Merthyr Town - Cardiff City U21	4:6 ✺
18.07.25	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Merthyr Town	1:2 ✺
11.07.25	Merthyr Town - Llanelli	6:1 ✺
02.07.25	Pen-y-Bont - Merthyr Town	3:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
26.04.25	Basingstoke Town - Merthyr Town	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWWLL
- Southport
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Southport - United of Manchester	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	Southport - Crewe Alexandra	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	Warrington Town - Southport	0:3 ✺
English National League North
26.04.25	Southport - Kidderminster Harriers	2:1 ✺
21.04.25	Warrington Town - Southport	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.5 TWWWT

Upcoming Matches