Match Info

National League North - Round 18

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Southport		Kidderminster Harriers

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.1	2.05
	3.3	3.2	2.08
	3.31	3.49	2.05	Watch
	3.41	3.1	2.07
	3.35	3.25	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (3.31)	3.23 ↓ (3.32)	2.06 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southport
27.4%

Draw
28.3%

Kidderminster Harriers
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

27.5%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

27.9%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Kidderminster Harriers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southport than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kidderminster Harriers than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Southport - Kidderminster Harriers Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kidderminster (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, Siziba Z. ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, Morgan-Smith A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 1 - 2, Slew J. ⚽,
64', 2 - 2, Slew J. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southport won 2.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Kidderminster may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Kidderminster has had a series of home games.

Kidderminster could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Southport won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:34. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Southport won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 1.2:1.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Kidderminster Harriers - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 44.9%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southport
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Buxton - Southport	2:3 ✺
English National League North
11.11.25	Southport - Chester	2:2 ✺
08.11.25	Hereford - Southport	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Buxton - Southport	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Southport - King`s Lynn Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.1 WTWWT
- Kidderminster Harriers
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Corby Town	3:0 ✺
English National League North
08.11.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Darlington	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Bedford Town	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Alfreton Town - Kidderminster Harriers	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Spennymoor Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
26.04.25	Southport - Kidderminster Harriers	2:1
21.12.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Southport	2:0
22.04.23	Southport - Kidderminster Harriers	1:3
22.10.22	Kidderminster Harriers - Southport	0:2
09.04.22	Kidderminster Harriers - Southport	6:0
28.08.21	Southport - Kidderminster Harriers	1:1
06.02.21	Southport - Kidderminster Harriers	Canceled

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