Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 10

Date: 8 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Slavutych-Arena (Zaporizhia)


	Metalurh Zaporizhya		Probiy Horodenka

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.45	2.25
	3.46	3.19	2.14	Watch
	2.63	3.32	2.32
	2.9	3.2	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.48)	3.29 ↑ (3.2)	2.24 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metalurh Zaporizhya
31.2%

Draw
27.9%

Probiy Horodenka
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

28.4%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

27.5%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metalurh Zaporizhya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Metalurh Zaporizhya's form might have worsened.

Probiy Horodenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Probiy Horodenka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metalurh Zaporizhya than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Metalurh Zaporizhya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Probiy Horodenka than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Probiy Horodenka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Metalurh Zaporizhya - Probiy Horodenka Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bayda N. (G) 77. Bandurin A. 18. Bliznichenko A. (C) 15. Chervinskyi D. 7. Irodovskyi D. 50. Kirichenko D. 27. Klymenko V. 9. Nekhtiy V. 28. Rudavskyi M. 8. Savitskyi A. 17. Yurechko I.	25. Kovalenko M. A. (G) 3. Bilyi I. (C) 31. Borysevych R. 8. Drygan B. 30. Felipovych V. 22. Gavrylyuk N. 16. Guk I. 10. Orynchak B. 2. Radulskyi V. 7. Sikach M. 11. Sondey I.
Substitutes
99. Bilyaev K. 19. Borysenko V. 3. Doroshenko D. 33. Klimov G. (G) 53. Kostyuchenko D. 13. Machulyan T. 25. Misanov M. 23. Slyusar D. 22. Tuzenko D. 10. Zelinskyi D.	90. Babanin V. 19. Dmytruk I. 23. Drekalo A. 26. Golodryga R. 6. Ivanychuk V. 15. Kharuk R. 77. Palagnyuk V. 44. Pasichnyk V. 9. Pylypchuk D. 5. Savchyn V. 1. Serdyuk R. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Klymenko V. ↓, Doroshenko D. ↑,
38', Felipovych V. 🟨,
42', Gavrylyuk N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Sikach M. 🟨,
52', 0 - 1, Ivanychuk V. ⚽,
73', Orynchak B. ↓, Pylypchuk D. ↑,
73', Sikach M. ↓, Dmytruk I. ↑,
75', Nekhtiy V. ↓, Zelinskyi D. ↑,
75', Bliznichenko A. ↓, Bilyaev K. ↑,
88', Felipovych V. ↓, Babanin V. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13 in the zone Persha Liga (Relegation) and 12)

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Probiy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Metalurh Z has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metalurh Zaporizhya
Ukrainian Persha Liga
04.10.25	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Metalurh Zaporizhya	3:0 ✺
29.09.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Inhulets	0:0 ✺
25.09.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Metalist Kharkiv	1:3 ✺
21.09.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Feniks-Mariupol	1:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
18.09.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Feniks-Mariupol	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTLTL
- Probiy Horodenka
Ukrainian Persha Liga
04.10.25	Probiy Horodenka - Chornomorets Odesa	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	UCSA - Probiy Horodenka	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Probiy Horodenka - Vorskla Poltava	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Probiy Horodenka	1:1 ✺
05.09.25	Probiy Horodenka - Nyva Ternopil	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTLTL

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