Match Info

UZBEKISTAN: Super League - Round 16

Date: 15 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Metallurg Stadium (Bekabad)

Where to Watch on TV:


Uzbekistan	Uzsport TV


	Metallurg Bekabad		Neftchi Fargona

	1	X	2
	3	2.9	2.25
	3.2	2.95	2.25
	3.24	2.99	2.37
	3.16	2.95	2.31	Watch
	3.23	3.04	2.32
	3.2	2.95	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (3.06)	2.96 ↓ (3.03)	2.29 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metallurg Bekabad
28.9%

Draw
31%

Neftchi Fargona
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

30.8%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

30.8%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metallurg Bekabad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Neftchi Fargona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Bekabad than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Metallurg Bekabad - Neftchi Fargona Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Metallurg Bekabad will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Neftchi Fargona will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Davronov R. (G) 2. Abdumazhidov O. 22. Gafurbekov S. 5. Kucherenko O. 31. Milickovic M. 4. Palic K. 15. Pirmuhammedov A. 6. Sattorov K. 98. Sekulic B. 7. Sobirzhonov A. 14. Toshkuziev A.	1. Ergashev B. (G) 8. Abduraimov S. 22. Amonov A. 4. Ciger B. 2. Dzhuraboyev Z. 20. Gofurov A. 70. Gulomov A. 11. Kakhramonov J. 10. Norkhonov S. 30. Ruziev K. 55. Safarov M.
Substitutes
19. Ashurov A. 99. Ergashboev A. 88. Kuziyev S. 25. Nematzhonov S. 87. Ortikov A. (G) 11. Sharipov D. 8. Shaykulov I. 10. Ubaydullaev S. 9. Urinboev Z.	99. Efiong N. 3. Jumaboyev J. 17. Kodirkulov S. 14. Mukhtarov K. 9. Norchaev K. 77. Toshmirzaev B. 45. Turaev A. (G) 21. Ubaydullaev M. 66. Valiev D.
Coaches
Kolosovskiy G.	Levchenko V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Norkhonov S. 🟨,
59', Kakhramonov J. ↓, Kodirkulov S. ↑,
59', Norkhonov S. ↓, Toshmirzaev B. ↑,
61', Sekulic B. 🟨,
62', Milickovic M. ↓, Nematzhonov S. ↑,
62', Toshkuziev A. ↓, Ergashboev A. ↑,
65', Sobirzhonov A. 🟨,
71', Sattorov K. ↓, Kuziyev S. ↑,
71', Sekulic B. ↓, Ubaydullaev S. ↑,
75', Amonov A. ↓, Norchaev K. ↑,
75', Ruziev K. ↓, Efiong N. ↑,
86', 🟨,
90+2', Sobirzhonov A. ↓, Urinboev Z. ↑,
90+3', Gofurov A. 🟨,
90+6', Kodirkulov S. 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Metallurg Bekabad won 1.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Neftchi Fargona could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Metallurg Bekabad have a series of home games.

Neftchi Fargona will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Metallurg Bekabad won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 8-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Metallurg Bekabad won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metallurg Bekabad
Uzbek League
11.08.24	Sogdiana Jizzakh - Metallurg Bekabad	2:2 ✺
04.08.24	Metallurg Bekabad - Lokomotiv Tashkent	1:1 ✺
Uzbek Cup
04.07.24	Metallurg Bekabad - Surkhon Termez	1:2 penalties ✺
Uzbek League
30.06.24	Metallurg Bekabad - Olympic Tashkent	1:4 ✺
26.06.24	Metallurg Bekabad - Nasaf Qarshi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TTLLT
- Neftchi Fargona
Uzbek League
10.08.24	Neftchi Fargona - Dinamo Samarqand	3:2 ✺
Uzbek Cup
06.07.24	Sogdiana Jizzakh - Neftchi Fargona	1:0 ET ✺
Uzbek League
01.07.24	Neftchi Fargona - Pakhtakor	0:2 ✺
27.06.24	Neftchi Fargona - Lokomotiv Tashkent	1:1 ✺
20.06.24	Nasaf Qarshi - Neftchi Fargona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
15.03.24	Neftchi Fargona - Metallurg Bekabad	1:0
29.07.23	Neftchi Fargona - Metallurg Bekabad	1:0
03.03.23	Metallurg Bekabad - Neftchi Fargona	0:3
25.10.22	Metallurg Bekabad - Neftchi Fargona	1:0
22.05.22	Neftchi Fargona - Metallurg Bekabad	3:0
28.07.18	Metallurg Bekabad - Neftchi Fargona	1:0
24.04.18	Neftchi Fargona - Metallurg Bekabad	0:0

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