Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 21

Date: 29 November 2024, Friday

Location: Rostec Arena (Kaliningrad)

Referee: Tanashev I. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match TV


	Baltika Kaliningrad		Alania Vladikavkaz

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.29	8.99
	1.39	4.25	9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.42)	4.27 ↑ (4.25)	9 ↑ (7.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baltika Kaliningrad
67.4%

Draw
22.1%

Alania Vladikavkaz
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

22.1%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

21.3%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baltika Kaliningrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Alania Vladikavkaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alania Vladikavkaz than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Baltika Kaliningrad - Alania Vladikavkaz Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Baltika will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
67. Borisko M. (G) 16. Andrade K. 70. Eldarushev A. 11. Kovalev Y. 99. Lisakovich V. 8. Mendel A. 96. Mokhammad A. 5. Osipov A. (C) 95. Petrov I. 19. Pryakhin S. 2. Varatynov S.	1. Soldatenko R. (G) 5. Bagaev A. 19. Butaev A. 11. Chochiev A. 7. Gurtsiev B. 58. Isik M. 10. Khadartsev B. 8. Khugaev A. 3. Pliev K. 2. Tataev A. 15. Tsallagov I. (C)
Substitutes
10. Alex Fernandes 14. Appaev K. 59. Avanesyan T. 4. Gassama N. 44. Lyubakov E. (G) 18. Nikishin K. 9. Stefanovich I. 1. Svinov I. (G) 13. Terentjev D. 22. Titkov N. 21. Zazvonkin I.	9. Abdokov N. 71. Byazrov A. 14. Chimezie W. 70. Daurov R. 12. Gubiev E. 27. Makarov S. 22. Moskalenchik I. 76. Nafikov V. 23. Natabashvili G. (G) 18. Toboev T. 13. Zaseev A.
Coaches
Talalaev A.	Gogniev S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Pryakhin S. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 0, Pryakhin S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Tsallagov I. 🟨,
55', Khadartsev B. ↓, Abdokov N. ↑,
55', Tsallagov I. ↓, Nafikov V. ↑,
55', Gurtsiev B. ↓, Chimezie W. ↑,
57', Butaev A. 🟨,
68', Lisakovich V. ↓, Nikishin K. ↑,
69', Eldarushev A. ↓, Appaev K. ↑,
69', Kovalev Y. ↓, Terentjev D. ↑,
74', Isik M. ↓, Toboev T. ↑,
77', Petrov I. ↓, Titkov N. ↑,
80', 3 - 0, Nikishin K. ⚽,
82', Butaev A. ↓, Daurov R. ↑,
83', Mokhammad A. ↓, Gassama N. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Baltika won 3.

Baltika is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Alania has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Alania have a series of home games.

In this match Baltika is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Baltika to win the game is with odds 1.48.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Baltika won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:13 (average 1.2:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Baltika won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baltika Kaliningrad
Russian FNL
23.11.24	Baltika Kaliningrad - Rodina Moscow	2:1 ✺
16.11.24	KAMAZ - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:1 ✺
09.11.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:2 ✺
03.11.24	Baltika Kaliningrad - SKA Khabarovsk	2:0 ✺
Russian Cup
29.10.24	Baltika Kaliningrad - Ural	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWL
- Alania Vladikavkaz
Russian FNL
23.11.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - Ural	0:1 ✺
16.11.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - Rotor	1:3 ✺
09.11.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - Arsenal Tula	0:0 ✺
02.11.24	Torpedo Moscow - Alania Vladikavkaz	3:0 ✺
27.10.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
13.10.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:2
26.05.23	Alania Vladikavkaz - Baltika Kaliningrad	3:1
06.11.22	Baltika Kaliningrad - Alania Vladikavkaz	2:1
Club Friendly
03.07.22	Baltika Kaliningrad - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:1
Russian FNL
06.04.22	Alania Vladikavkaz - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:3
Club Friendly
13.02.22	Baltika Kaliningrad - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:2
Russian FNL
25.09.21	Baltika Kaliningrad - Alania Vladikavkaz	1:1

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