Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 28

Date: 29 May 2026, Friday

Location: Slavutych-Arena (Zaporizhia)


	Metalurh Zaporizhya		Chernihiv

	1	X	2
	6	3.8	1.46
	6.3	3.75	1.5
	6.03	3.62	1.49
	6.62	4.09	1.45	Watch
	6.88	3.68	1.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.37 ↑ (4.67)	3.79 ↑ (3.7)	1.47 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metalurh Zaporizhya
14.3%

Draw
24%

Chernihiv
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

24.9%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

23.7%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metalurh Zaporizhya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Metalurh Zaporizhya's form might have worsened.

Chernihiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chernihiv's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metalurh Zaporizhya than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernihiv than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Metalurh Zaporizhya - Chernihiv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bayda N. (G) 77. Bandurin A. 19. Borysenko V. (C) 7. Irodovskyi D. 22. Izotov D. 50. Kirichenko D. 27. Klymenko V. 8. Savitskyi A. 97. Seytkhalilov S. 14. Sitalo A. 16. Vorona M.	35. Tatarenko M. (C) 21. Bezborodko D. 13. Bezgubchenko D. 8. Bybik A. 2. Galstyan E. 12. Kartushov Y. 33. Porokhnya A. 55. Romanchenko A. 6. Shalfeev Y. 38. Shushko P. 23. Zenchenko O.
Substitutes
99. Bilyaev K. 3. Doroshenko D. 20. Dziubko Y. 29. Lisnyak R. 25. Misanov M. 76. Mokrytskyi V. (G) 9. Nekhtiy V. 23. Slyusar D. 90. Zaichenko Y. 10. Zelinskyi D.	20. Fateev D. 99. Gerasimenko D. (G) 10. Koydan V. 9. Kulyk D. 7. Myronenko D. 77. Serdyuk M. 95. Shapoval V. 88. Stolyarchuk A. 30. Teplyakov N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Druha Liga and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metalurh Z won 2.

Metalurh Z is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Chernihiv has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Chernihiv is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Metalurh Z won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Metalurh Z won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	FC Chernihiv	9	1	4	4	10:14	-4	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metalurh Zaporizhya
Ukrainian Persha Liga
22.05.26	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Metalurh Zaporizhya	4:0 ✺
10.05.26	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Metalurh Zaporizhya	0:1 ✺
04.05.26	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Viktoriya Sumy	0:3 ✺
25.04.26	Probiy Horodenka - Metalurh Zaporizhya	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWLLL
- FC Chernihiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
26.05.26	Chernihiv - Metalist Kharkiv	1:2 ✺
23.05.26	Chernihiv - Inhulets	1:2 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
20.05.26	Chernihiv - Dynamo Kyiv	1:3 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
09.05.26	Chernihiv - Chornomorets Odesa	2:2 ✺
02.05.26	UCSA - Chernihiv	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
15.12.25	Chernihiv - Metalurh Zaporizhya	1:1
12.06.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Chernihiv	0:2
08.06.25	Chernihiv - Metalurh Zaporizhya	3:0
29.10.23	Chernihiv - Metalurh Zaporizhya	1:3
27.08.23	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Chernihiv	4:2
05.11.22	Chernihiv - Metalurh Zaporizhya	0:0
17.09.22	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Chernihiv	0:2

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