Match Info

Date: 12 October 2022, Wednesday


	Truro City		Swindon Supermarine

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	3.8
	1.7	3.5	3.75
	1.76	3.65	3.75
	1.68	3.64	3.92
	1.69	3.8	4.2
	1.75	3.6	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.87)	3.62 ↓ (4)	3.9 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Truro City
52.2%

Draw
24.8%

Swindon Supermarine
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

22.7%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

21.9%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Swindon Supermarine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Swindon Supermarine might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Supermarine than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Truro City - Swindon Supermarine Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs) and 6).

Truro in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Swindon Supermarine is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Truro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Swindon Supermarine have a series of home games.

Truro will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Truro won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Truro won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Truro City
English FA Trophy
09.10.22	Truro City - Salisbury	1:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
01.10.22	Hartley Wintney - Truro City	0:1 ✺
27.09.22	Yate Town - Truro City	1:2 ✺
24.09.22	Truro City - Gosport Borough	1:0 ✺
14.09.22	Truro City - Weston-super-Mare	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWT
- Swindon Supermarine
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Swindon Supermarine - Cirencester Town	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup
01.10.22	Swindon Supermarine - Farnborough	1:5 ✺
English Southern League South Division
27.09.22	Weston-super-Mare - Swindon Supermarine	3:1 ✺
24.09.22	Swindon Supermarine - Beaconsfield Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
17.09.22	Swindon Supermarine - Dorchester Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
02.04.22	Swindon Supermarine - Truro City	0:1
16.11.21	Truro City - Swindon Supermarine	1:1
24.10.20	Swindon Supermarine - Truro City	2:3
25.01.20	Swindon Supermarine - Truro City	1:3
17.08.19	Truro City - Swindon Supermarine	1:0

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