Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas (Santa Cruz)

Referee: De Armas M. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSPORTS+ Plus
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App, Unitel
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol, fubo Sports Network
Chile	DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
Paraguay	Tigo Sports+
Peru	DirecTV Sports, Disney+
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSPORTS+ Plus
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSPORTS+ Plus, Inter


	Blooming		Carabobo

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.25	1.9	Watch
	3.3	3.25	2.15
	3.95	3.35	1.88	Watch
	4.34	3.36	1.97
	3.49	3.27	2.17	Watch
	4	3.1	1.91
	4.3	3.26	1.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↑ (3.25)	3.26 ↓ (3.57)	1.99 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blooming
23.7%

Draw
28.9%

Carabobo
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

26.5%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

27%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blooming has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Blooming's form might have worsened.

Carabobo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blooming than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Blooming, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	10%	30%

Blooming - Carabobo Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Blooming will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Carabobo will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Blooming: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Blooming (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Uraezana B. (G) 44. Enoumba M. 55. Carrasco J. (C) 22. Vila J. 2. Cabral M. 33. Oliveros A. 14. Mercado Galvez J. S. 23. Chura J. 10. Hinojosa R. 88. Centella G. 9. Vasquez A.	22. Bruera L. (C) 4. Aponte L. 32. Neira E. 3. Fuentes J. 21. Gonzalez A. 30. Mendoza S. 26. Nunez M. 8. Perez J. 7. Tortolero E. 14. Berios J. 24. Ramirez E.
Substitutes
71. Almada G. (G) 28. Alvarez E. 70. Esdras Mendoza 29. Garces J. 20. Loza P. 25. Melgar R. 11. Menacho C. 5. Severiche S. 6. Spenhay R. 8. Villarroel M. 7. Villarroel M.	6. Bahachille A. 28. Bilbao J. 15. Cova M. 13. Duran J. 2. Guaramato M. 16. Lopez F. 19. Martinez L. 23. Meza D. 17. Oliveros F. 10. Orozco Y. 12. Roa K. (G)
Coaches
Gutierrez R.	Farias D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Ramirez E. ⚽, Berios J. (A),
45+3', Mercado Galvez J. S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Chura J. ↓, Villarroel M. ↑,
49', Cabral M. 🟨,
56', 0 - 2, Mendoza S. ⚽, Perez J. (A),
62', Oliveros A. ↓, Garces J. ↑,
62', Mercado Galvez J. S. ↓, Severiche S. ↑,
63', Mendoza S. 🟨,
71', Tortolero E. ↓, Cova M. ↑,
71', Vasquez A. ↓, Menacho C. ↑,
71', Centella G. ↓, Melgar R. ↑,
77', Berios J. ↓, Orozco Y. ↑,
77', Mendoza S. ↓, Martinez L. ↑,
90', Ramirez E. ↓, Meza D. ↑,

Preview

Recent form of Blooming has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Carabobo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Blooming may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Carabobo might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Blooming won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blooming Santa Cruz
Bolivian Division Profesional
13.05.26	Independiente Petroleros - Blooming	3:1 ✺
10.05.26	Blooming - Bolívar	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.05.26	Blooming - Red Bull Bragantino	0:6 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
04.05.26	Universitario de Vinto - Blooming	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
30.04.26	Carabobo - Blooming	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTLTL
- Carabobo FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
17.05.26	Estudiantes de Mérida - Carabobo	0:2 ✺
13.05.26	Carabobo - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Deportivo Táchira - Carabobo	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.05.26	Carabobo - River Plate	1:2 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
03.05.26	Carabobo - Metropolitanos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
30.04.26	Carabobo - Blooming	2:0

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