Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 8 June 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de la UCV (Caracas)

Referee: Ramirez M. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4


	Metropolitanos		Independiente Medellín

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.75	1.6	Watch
	5.5	3.6	1.62
	5.3	3.8	1.66
	5.96	3.82	1.65
	5	3.5	1.57
	5.8	3.85	1.6	Watch
	5.4	3.7	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.53 ↑ (4.62)	3.72 ↑ (3.57)	1.62 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Libertadores with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS (Canada)

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Current Win Probability

Metropolitanos
16.9%

Draw
25.2%

Independiente Medellín
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

26.2%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

25.6%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metropolitanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metropolitanos than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	4.8%	88.1%

Metropolitanos - Independiente Medellín Predictions

Users Predictions: Independiente Medellín will win (37 of 42 users predict this - 88.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.31% – 97.89%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Schiavone G. (G) 32. Camarillo C. 30. Moreno J. 15. Vargas J. 17. Valderrey E. 11. Gomez D. 8. Marchan J. 5. Larotonda C. 70. Vargas F. 35. Bareiro Munoz F. V. 21. Ortiz C. (C)	1. Mosquera A. (G) 24. Ararat J. 3. Moreno V. 29. Palacios J. 13. Londono D. 15. Alvarado J. 10. Ricaurte A. (C) 18. Cetre E. 20. Monsalve M. 11. Ibarguen A. 9. Pons L.
Substitutes
19. Annese L. 16. Anton I. 3. Bolivar L. 24. Cermeno C. 28. Cova N. 26. Diaz C. 23. Gruezo C. 39. Hinojosa O. 40. Martinez J. 31. Perez L. 88. Ramos Rodriguez C. I. 1. Rojas T. (G)	21. Batalla E. 7. Cabezas J. 5. Cadavid A. 26. Gomez Mosquera Y. A. 4. Marulanda J. 8. Quinonez D. 16. Torres D. 23. Valencia E. 12. Vasquez Caicedo L. E. (G)
Coaches
Morr J.	Botero J.

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Metropolitanos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Independiente Medellín is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Metropolitanos won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metropolitanos FC
Copa Libertadores
25.05.23	Metropolitanos - Internacional RS	1:2 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
20.05.23	Portuguesa Acarígua - Metropolitanos	0:1 ✺
12.05.23	Metropolitanos - Hermanos Colmenares	2:3 ✺
07.05.23	Monagas - Metropolitanos	0:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
03.05.23	Independiente Medellín - Metropolitanos	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWLWL
- Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A
03.06.23	Independiente Medellín - Boyacá Chicó	0:0 ✺
31.05.23	Boyacá Chicó - Independiente Medellín	1:0 ✺
28.05.23	América de Cali - Independiente Medellín	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
23.05.23	Independiente Medellín - Nacional Montevideo	2:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
20.05.23	Independiente Medellín - Millonarios	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
03.05.23	Independiente Medellín - Metropolitanos	4:2

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