The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Metropolitanos 51.2%
Draw 26.7%
Portuguesa Acarígua 22%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41%
29%
30%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.1%
27%
27.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metropolitanos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Metropolitanos's performance.
Portuguesa Acarígua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portuguesa Acarígua might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metropolitanos than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Metropolitanos that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa Acarígua than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portuguesa Acarígua could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Metropolitanos - Portuguesa Acarígua Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metropolitanos won 3.
In recent outings, Metropolitanos has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Portuguesa has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Metropolitanos carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Metropolitanos has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:13 (averaging 1.4:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Metropolitanos against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 11:5 goals (averaging 1.8:0.8 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Portuguesa Acarígua - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 30%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
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