Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 4

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Saint-Symphorien (Metz)

Referee: Millot B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Canada	beIN Connect
China	Migu
Croatia	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+ 5, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, ON Sport, TV 360, VTVcab


	Metz		Angers

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	3.2	Watch
	2.25	3.4	3.1
	2.32	3.2	3.2
	2.42	3.35	3.3
	19.47	1.03	23.57	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.3
	2.4	3.34	3.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.74 ↑ (2.18)	2.99 ↓ (3.48)	6.14 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metz
29.8%

Draw
47.3%

Angers
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

27.4%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

28.4%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Metz's form might have worsened.

Angers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Angers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Metz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Angers than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.6%	21.1%	47.4%

Metz - Angers Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Metz will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). Angers will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Angers: 24.9% – 69.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Metz (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Angers (votes: 5 - 55.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Metz (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Metz (votes: 5 - 50%). Angers (votes: 5 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fischer J. (G) 39. Kouao K. 5. Gbamin J. 15. Yegbe T. 12. Toure A. 21. Stambouli B. 8. Traore B. 7. Tsitaishvili G. 10. Hein G. (C) 23. Sane I. 30. Diallo H.	12. Koffi H. (G) 2. Arcus C. 4. Camara O. 21. Lefort J. 26. Hanin F. 14. Belkhdim Y. 93. Belkebla H. (C) 27. Raolisoa L. 6. Mouton L. 11. Cherif S. 35. Peter P.
Substitutes
9. Abuashvili G. 19. Bokele Mputu M. 2. Colin M. 20. Deminguet J. 29. Guerti I. 24. Madjo B. 25. Melieres C. 14. Sabaly C. 61. Sy P. (G)	10. Abdelli H. 25. Bamba A. 24. Biumla E. 15. Capelle P. 5. Courcoul M. 3. Ekomie J. 17. Kalumba J. 36. Machine L. 16. Zinga M. (G)
Coaches
Le Mignan S.	Dujeux A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Gbamin J. ⚽, Hein G. (A),
45+2', Belkebla H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Cherif S. ↓, Machine L. ↑,
61', Hanin F. ↓, Ekomie J. ↑,
64', Diallo H. (Pen),
71', Mouton L. ↓, Abdelli H. ↑,
72', Tsitaishvili G. ↓, Abuashvili G. ↑,
73', Sane I. ↓, Sabaly C. ↑,
80', Raolisoa L. ↓, Kalumba J. ↑,
85', Stambouli B. ↓, Deminguet J. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Abdelli H. (Pen),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metz won 2.

Recent form of Metz has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Angers is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Metz has had a series of away games.

Recently, Angers has had a series of home games.

Metz will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Metz: Mangondo J. (Knee Injury) Mbaye M. (Foot Injury) Mboula U. (Hamstring Injury) Sane S. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Angers: Abdelli H. (Hernia)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Metz won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Metz won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 0.7:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Metz
French Ligue 1
31.08.25	Paris FC - Metz	3:2 ✺
23.08.25	Lyon - Metz	3:0 ✺
17.08.25	Metz - Strasbourg	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Troyes - Metz	0:1 ✺
26.07.25	Lens - Metz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLWL
- Angers SCO
French Ligue 1
31.08.25	Angers - Rennes	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Angers	1:0 ✺
17.08.25	Angers - Paris FC	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Angers - Lorient	1:0 ✺
02.08.25	Angers - Nantes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
14.05.22	Metz - Angers	1:0
03.10.21	Angers - Metz	3:2
03.03.21	Metz - Angers	0:1
18.10.20	Angers - Metz	1:1
23.05.20	Metz - Angers	Canceled
24.08.19	Angers - Metz	3:0
06.05.18	Metz - Angers	1:2

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