Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 1

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Saint-Symphorien (Metz)

Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Mexico	Caliente TV
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV7
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+


	Metz		Strasbourg

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.4	2.15	Watch
	3.25	3.5	2.15
	3.25	3.45	2.18
	3.46	3.51	2.23
	3.11	3.42	2.25	Watch
	3.3	3.3	2.1
	3.47	3.55	2.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (3.12)	3.45 (3.45)	2.19 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metz
28.7%

Draw
27.7%

Strasbourg
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

27.8%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	18.7%	72.9%

Metz - Strasbourg Predictions

Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Metz will win (votes: 4 - 8.5%). Strasbourg will win (votes: 35 - 74.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 17%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Strasbourg: 62% – 87%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

DC - Metz (1.68) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Strasbourg will win (20 of 25 users predict this - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 27 Selected Experts predict this event. Metz (votes: 2 - 7.4%). Strasbourg (votes: 21 - 77.8%). Tie (votes: 4 - 14.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fischer J. (G) 39. Kouao K. 38. Sane S. 5. Gbamin J. 4. Mboula U. 8. Traore B. 21. Stambouli B. 20. Deminguet J. 7. Tsitaishvili G. 24. Madjo B. 14. Sabaly C. (C)	39. Penders M. (G) 27. Amo-Ameyaw S. 18. Mwanga J. 24. Hogsberg L. 23. Sarr M. 42. Ouattara A. 29. El Mourabet S. 80. Lemarechal F. 32. Barco V. 10. Emegha E. (C) 9. Panichelli J.
Substitutes
10. Abuashvili G. 19. Bokele Mputu M. 2. Colin M. 18. Gueye I. 6. Nduquidi J. 9. Sane I. 61. Sy P. (G) 12. Toure A. 22. Van Den Kerkhof K.	26. Bakwa D. 1. Johnsson K. (G) 14. Mara S. 11. Nanasi S. 41. Nzingoula R. 8. Oyedele M. 16. Paez K. 3. Samuels-Smith I. 77. Sobol E.
Coaches
Le Mignan S.	Rosenior L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Sarr M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Ouattara A. 🟨,
55', Ouattara A. ↓, Bakwa D. ↑,
59', Madjo B. ↓, Gueye I. ↑,
61', Deminguet J. 🟨,
67', Kouao K. 🟨,
72', El Mourabet S. ↓, Nanasi S. ↑,
73', Sabaly C. ↓, Sane I. ↑,
73', Deminguet J. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
80', Amo-Ameyaw S. ↓, Paez K. ↑,
84', Kouao K. ↓, Colin M. ↑,
84', Traore B. ↓, Nduquidi J. ↑,
86', 0 - 1, Panichelli J. ⚽, Bakwa D. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metz won 0.

Strasbourg has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Metz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Strasbourg has had a series of away games.

Strasbourg could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Metz: Hein G. (Yellow Cards) Mangondo J. (Knee Injury) Mbaye M. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Strasbourg: Amougou M. (Injury) Coulibaly S. (Calf Injury) Doue G. (Injury) Doukoure I. (Inactive) Moreira D. (Injury) Omobamidele A. (Red Card) Sow S. (Knee Injury) Sylla A. (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Metz won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Metz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Metz
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Troyes - Metz	0:1 ✺
26.07.25	Lens - Metz	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	Metz - Red Star	4:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
29.05.25	Reims - Metz	1:3 ET ✺
21.05.25	Metz - Reims	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLWWT
- RC Strasbourg
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Mainz - Strasbourg	0:0 ✺
06.08.25	Sturm Graz - Strasbourg	2:3 ✺
02.08.25	Heidenheim - Strasbourg	Canceled ✺
30.07.25	Strasbourg - Udinese	1:2 ✺
26.07.25	Galatasaray - Strasbourg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TW?LL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
12.05.24	Strasbourg - Metz	2:1
24.09.23	Metz - Strasbourg	0:1
09.01.22	Metz - Strasbourg	0:2
17.09.21	Strasbourg - Metz	3:0
14.02.21	Metz - Strasbourg	1:2
13.12.20	Strasbourg - Metz	2:2
Club Friendly
15.08.20	Strasbourg - Metz	2:3

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