Match Info

Ligue 1 - Relegation - Play Offs - Final

Date: 21 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stade Saint-Symphorien (Metz)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Turkey	beIN Connect
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1


	Metz		Reims

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	3.4	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3.4
	2.2	3.35	3.3
	2.27	3.4	3.36
	2.22	3.4	3.27	Watch
	2.15	3.25	3.25
	2.3	3.5	3.4	Watch
	2.2	3.35	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (3.25)	3.36 ↓ (3.45)	3.34 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metz
43.1%

Draw
28.3%

Reims
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

27.9%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

27.4%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Metz's performance.

Reims has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Reims might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metz than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Metz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reims than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Reims could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	38.9%	11.1%

Metz - Reims Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Metz will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Reims will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Metz: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Metz (1.86) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Metz will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Metz (votes: 6 - 75%). Reims (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
61. Sy P. (G) 39. Kouao K. 38. Sane S. 4. Mboula U. 3. Udol M. (C) 22. Van Den Kerkhof K. 20. Deminguet J. 21. Stambouli B. 19. Bokele Mputu M. 14. Sabaly C. 7. Hein G.	94. Diouf Y. (C) 3. Hiroki S. 2. Okumu J. 21. Kipre C. 18. Akieme S. 30. Patrick J. 24. Gbane M. 6. Atangana Edoa V. 87. Tia A. 12. Siebatcheu J. 17. Nakamura K.
Substitutes
2. Colin M. 10. Diallo P. A. 18. Gueye I. 36. Jallow A. 6. Nduquidi J. 16. Oukidja A. (G) 9. Sane I. 12. Toure A. 8. Traore I.	22. Diakite O. 19. Gabriel Moscardo 85. Ibrahim H. 31. Jeng M. 92. Kone A. 72. Kone A. 20. Olliero A. (G) 73. Orazi I. 55. Sangui N.
Coaches
Le Mignan S.	Diawara S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', Atangana Edoa V. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Udol M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Atangana Edoa V. ↓, Kone A. ↑,
46', Patrick J. ↓, Diakite O. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Kipre C. ⚽, Akieme S. (A),
57', Gbane M. 🟨,
59', Kipre C. 🟨,
62', Tia A. ↓, Gabriel Moscardo ↑,
72', Siebatcheu J. ↓, Ibrahim H. ↑,
74', Bokele Mputu M. ↓, Diallo P. A. ↑,
75', Van Den Kerkhof K. ↓, Gueye I. ↑,
83', Sabaly C. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
83', Deminguet J. ↓, Jallow A. ↑,
90+2', Sane S. 🟨,
90+5', Nakamura K. ↓, Sangui N. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metz won 1.

Recent performances by Metz have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Reims is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Metz is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Metz: Asoro J. (Injury)

There will not play in Reims: Daramy M. (Knee Injury) Diakhon M. (Ankle Injury) Fofana Y. (Ankle Injury) Khadra R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Reims: Buta (Injury) Kone A. (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Metz won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 0.9:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Metz won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Metz
French Ligue 1
17.05.25	Metz - Dunkerque	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 2
10.05.25	Laval - Metz	2:3 ✺
02.05.25	Metz - Rodez	3:3 ✺
26.04.25	Pau - Metz	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Metz - Red Star	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWTLT
- Stade de Reims
French Ligue 1
17.05.25	Lille - Reims	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Reims - Saint-Étienne	0:2 ✺
02.05.25	Nice - Reims	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Montpellier - Reims	0:0 ✺
20.04.25	Reims - Toulouse	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
17.03.24	Reims - Metz	2:1
03.09.23	Metz - Reims	2:2
Club Friendly
20.07.22	Reims - Metz	1:0
French Ligue 1
16.01.22	Reims - Metz	0:1
22.08.21	Metz - Reims	1:1
18.04.21	Reims - Metz	0:0
20.09.20	Metz - Reims	2:1

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