Match Info

Ligue 1 - Relegation - Play Offs - Final

Date: 29 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Stade Auguste-Delaune (Reims)

Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
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Venezuela	Disney+


	Reims		Metz

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.25	2.88	Watch
	2.25	3.25	3.3
	2.5	3.15	2.95
	2.61	3.21	2.96
	2.6	3.15	2.88	Watch
	2.25	3	3.2
	2.59	3.3	2.92	Watch
	2.5	3.15	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.05)	3.18 ↓ (3.3)	3.01 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reims
38.4%

Draw
29.9%

Metz
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

28.4%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

29%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reims has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reims's form might have worsened.

Metz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Metz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reims than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reims, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metz than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Metz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.2%	20%	17.8%

Reims - Metz Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Reims will win (votes: 24 - 61.5%). Metz will win (votes: 7 - 17.9%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 20.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reims: 46.2% – 76.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Reims (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Metz (votes: 4 - 18.2%). Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Reims (2.06) (votes: 6 - 85.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH 0 - Metz (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Reims (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Reims (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 32 Selected Experts predict this event. Reims (votes: 23 - 71.9%). Metz (votes: 6 - 18.8%). Tie (votes: 3 - 9.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Diouf Y. (C) 23. Buta 2. Okumu J. 21. Kipre C. 18. Akieme S. 7. Ito J. 24. Gbane M. 72. Kone A. 17. Nakamura K. 22. Diakite O. 87. Tia A.	61. Sy P. (G) 39. Kouao K. 38. Sane S. 4. Mboula U. 3. Udol M. (C) 22. Van Den Kerkhof K. 21. Stambouli B. 20. Deminguet J. 19. Bokele Mputu M. 7. Hein G. 14. Sabaly C.
Substitutes
6. Atangana Edoa V. 67. Diakhon M. 3. Hiroki S. 85. Ibrahim H. 31. Jeng M. 20. Olliero A. (G) 30. Patrick J. 55. Sangui N. 12. Siebatcheu J.	2. Colin M. 10. Diallo P. A. 18. Gueye I. 36. Jallow A. 6. Nduquidi J. 16. Oukidja A. (G) 9. Sane I. 12. Toure A. 8. Traore I.
Coaches
Diawara S.	Le Mignan S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Akieme S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 1 - 0, Tia A. ⚽, Ito J. (A),
63', Van Den Kerkhof K. ↓, Diallo P. A. ↑,
63', Deminguet J. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
64', Tia A. 🟨,
65', Kone A. ↓, Atangana Edoa V. ↑,
65', Tia A. ↓, Diakhon M. ↑,
71', Bokele Mputu M. ↓, Gueye I. ↑,
72', Diakite O. ↓, Siebatcheu J. ↑,
77', Buta ↓, Hiroki S. ↑,
77', Gbane M. ↓, Patrick J. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Udol M. ⚽,
84', Sabaly C. ↓, Jallow A. ↑,
85', Mboula U. 🟨,
87', Nakamura K. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 2)
103', Kouao K. ↓, Colin M. ↑,
105', Akieme S. ↓, Sangui N. ↑,
110', 1 - 2, Toure A. ⚽, Hein G. (A),
114', 1 - 3, Hein G. ⚽, Diallo P. A. (A),
115', Hein G. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reims won 2.

Reims has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Metz has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Reims may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Reims has had a series of away games.

Reims is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Reims: Daramy M. (Knee Injury) Fofana Y. (Ankle Injury) Khadra R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Metz: Asoro J. (Injury) Bodart A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Reims: Teuma T. (Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Reims won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 0.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Reims won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 0.6:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade de Reims
Coupe De France
24.05.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Reims	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
21.05.25	Metz - Reims	1:1 ✺
17.05.25	Lille - Reims	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Reims - Saint-Étienne	0:2 ✺
02.05.25	Nice - Reims	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL
- FC Metz
French Ligue 1
21.05.25	Metz - Reims	1:1 ✺
17.05.25	Metz - Dunkerque	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 2
10.05.25	Laval - Metz	2:3 ✺
02.05.25	Metz - Rodez	3:3 ✺
26.04.25	Pau - Metz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
21.05.25	Metz - Reims	1:1
17.03.24	Reims - Metz	2:1
03.09.23	Metz - Reims	2:2
Club Friendly
20.07.22	Reims - Metz	1:0
French Ligue 1
16.01.22	Reims - Metz	0:1
22.08.21	Metz - Reims	1:1
18.04.21	Reims - Metz	0:0

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