Match Info

MEXICO: Liga Premier Serie A - Round 31

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday


	Mexicali		Mineros de Fresnillo

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.3	1.72
	4.2	3.4	1.75
	4.08	3.6	1.78
	4.08	3.6	1.78
	4.26	3.58	1.72	Watch
	4.2	3.4	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.17 ↑ (4.1)	3.48 ↑ (3.2)	1.75 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mexicali
21.8%

Draw
26.2%

Mineros de Fresnillo
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.1%

28.3%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

27.9%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mexicali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Mineros de Fresnillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mexicali than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mineros de Fresnillo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 11).

Mexicali is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Mineros de Fresnillo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mineros de Fresnillo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Mineros de Fresnillo have a series of home games.

In this match Mineros de Fresnillo is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mexicali won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Mexicali won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mexicali FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
30.03.24	Leones Negros 2 - Mexicali	3:1 ✺
26.03.24	Mexicali - Gavilanes de Matamoros	0:1 ✺
23.03.24	Mexicali - Tritones Vallarta	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Mexicali - Tecos FC	2:1 ✺
05.03.24	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Mexicali	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 LLLWT
- Mineros de Fresnillo
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
30.03.24	Mineros de Fresnillo - Tuzos UAZ	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	Mineros de Fresnillo - Leones Negros 2	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Mineros de Fresnillo - Colima	3:2 ✺
06.03.24	Tecos FC - Mineros de Fresnillo	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Mineros de Fresnillo - Correcaminos UAT 2	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
04.11.23	Mineros de Fresnillo - Mexicali	5:0
14.01.23	Mexicali - Mineros de Fresnillo	4:2

Mexicali - Mineros de Fresnillo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide