Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 11

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Mineros de Fresnillo		Colima

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.9	5.47
	1.54	4.13	4.93	Watch
	1.49	3.96	5.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.54)	4 ↓ (4.13)	5.34 ↑ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mineros de Fresnillo
60.2%

Draw
22.7%

Colima
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

22.1%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

21.6%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mineros de Fresnillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Colima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mineros de Fresnillo than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colima than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Mineros de Fresnillo - Colima Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
36', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 and 12)

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Mineros de Fresnillo is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mineros de Fresnillo won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Mineros de Fresnillo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mineros de Fresnillo
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
25.10.25	Leones Negros 2 - Mineros de Fresnillo	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Mineros de Fresnillo - Los Cabos United	1:0 ✺
13.10.25	Tigres de Álica - Mineros de Fresnillo	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Mineros de Fresnillo - Tritones Vallarta	2:2 ✺
26.09.25	Tecos FC - Mineros de Fresnillo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LWWTL
- Colima FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
25.10.25	Colima - Cimarrones de Sonora	0:0 ✺
11.10.25	Colima - Zapotlanejo	3:4 ✺
03.10.25	Alacranes de Durango - Colima	1:3 ✺
27.09.25	Colima - La Piedad	3:0 ✺
20.09.25	Tuzos UAZ - Colima	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.6 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
09.03.24	Mineros de Fresnillo - Colima	3:2
07.10.23	Colima - Mineros de Fresnillo	1:1
19.02.22	Mineros de Fresnillo - Colima	0:0
16.10.21	Colima - Mineros de Fresnillo	5:0
09.10.20	Mineros de Fresnillo - Colima	1:1

Mineros de Fresnillo - Colima: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide